Luka Pavlovic vs Pablo Carreño Busta
Olbia, Italy | Hard | Round of 16
16 Oct 2025, 14:00
16 Oct 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luka … | Pablo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luka Pavlovic
Ranking
#220
UTR Rating
14.29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#237
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42.9%
Pablo Carreño Busta
Ranking
#89
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
33/52 = 63.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -131.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.4045 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.9050 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -419.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -174.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -24.5614 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8.7740 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.1346 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 38.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62.8947 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 49.9057 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62.5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 52.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6967 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 18.1140 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.7742 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.8121 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0.5196 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6.2519 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 9.1853 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -38.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -27.9300 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7118 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.6128 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.3799 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 22.2279 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0143 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0021 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7400 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11060
API ID
14851843
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Olbia, Italy
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11060,
"api_id": 14851843,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Luka Pavlovic",
"player2": "Pablo Carre\u00f1o Busta",
"tournament": "Olbia, Italy",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-16T14:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 220,
"utr_singles": 14.29,
"utr_ranking": 237,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 89,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.46153846153846,
"wr_surface_wins": 33,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.29,
"ranking": 237,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.40454545454545454,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.9049911766202217,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -419,
"best_rank_diff": -174,
"surface_wr_diff": -24.56140350877193,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.774041666666665,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1346153846153846,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_p1": 38.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.89473684210526,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 49.90568181818182,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 52,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.6966666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": 18.114025062656644,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.7742105263157981,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.812105263157889,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.5196240601503703,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.251879699248114,
"aces_per_match_diff": 9.185275689223056,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -37.99999999999997,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -27.929999999999993,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.711764705882353,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.612789154094685,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.379850949519258,
"surface_rank_synergy": 22.22785346084755,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.014333333333333309,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.002052631578947417,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.7399999999999999,
"utr_p2": 0.7399999999999999,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}