Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud
Stockholm | Hard | Quarterfinals
17 Oct 2025, 20:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sebastian … Casper … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Korda
Ranking #53
UTR Rating 15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #29
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Casper Ruud
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #22
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 22/33 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -40,0000
rank_ratio 0,2453
log_rank_ratio -1,4053
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1820,0000
best_rank_diff -13,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,8408
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,4277
surface_matches_ratio 0,8194
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,2874
surface_wr_p2 65,1282
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,7302
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,1579
p1_surface_matches 59,0000
p2_surface_matches 72,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1864
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,9988
first_serve_won_diff 1,0608
second_serve_won_diff -1,8642
bp_saved_diff -2,5867
bp_converted_diff -2,7679
aces_per_match_diff 2,5138
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 19,9000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9573
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2783
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 8,5562
serve_consistency_p2 8,2503
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,6137
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1229
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1113
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1000
utr_p1 0,8788
utr_p2 0,8906
utr_advantage -0,6443
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 11082
API ID 14851814
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Stockholm
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11082,
    "api_id": 14851814,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Sebastian Korda",
    "player2": "Casper Ruud",
    "tournament": "Stockholm",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-10-17T16:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.47,
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      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.57,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
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    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.427736006683368,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8194444444444444,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 65.12820512820511,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.730158730158735,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.1578947368421,
    "p1_surface_matches": 59,
    "p2_surface_matches": 72,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1864406779661017,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.9988176030865645,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.060838035527695,
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    "bp_saved_diff": -2.586746885298595,
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    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.513835704525359,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
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    "momentum_diff": 22.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 19.900000000000006,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9572953736654805,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2782874617737003,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.556246877683932,
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    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.613735947367669,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
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    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
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    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
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    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
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    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
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    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
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}