Emiliana Arango vs Varvara Gracheva
Tokyo | Hard | Qualification Round 1
18 Oct 2025, 05:30
18 Oct 2025, 05:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emiliana … | Varvara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emiliana Arango
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#124
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/31 = 54,8%
Varvara Gracheva
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 26,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5098 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4120 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 262,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,1879 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,3333 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9032 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,1871 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,3750 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 56,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 62,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0714 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,4544 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,2849 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,0264 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,9641 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,4154 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,1520 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -44,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -36,3600 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4595 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5455 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9871 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,4106 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,3134 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0341 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0498 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4800 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,5013 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11098
API ID
14903533
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11098,
"api_id": 14903533,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Emiliana Arango",
"player2": "Varvara Gracheva",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-10-18T01:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 51,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 124,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.83870967741935,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 12.08,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.9,
"ranking": 124,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.08,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 26,
"rank_ratio": 1.5098039215686274,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.41197978912935806,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 262,
"best_rank_diff": -7,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.1879032258064584,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.3333333333333357,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9032258064516129,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 49.18709677419354,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.375,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 56,
"p2_surface_matches": 62,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.07142857142857142,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.454398629032262,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.2849250000000012,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.026400000000002,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.9640625000000043,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.415437500000003,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.152008064516129,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"momentum_diff": -44.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -36.360000000000014,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4594594594594595,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.9870744500795405,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.410603677704781,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.313351698732545,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03412903225806463,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04975000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.17999999999999972,
"utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_p2": 0.48,
"utr_advantage": -1.501251042535444,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}