Emiliana Arango vs Varvara Gracheva
Tokyo | Hard | Qualification Round 1
18 Oct 2025, 05:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Emiliana … Varvara … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emiliana Arango
Ranking #51
UTR Rating 11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #124
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/31 = 54,8%
Varvara Gracheva
Ranking #77
UTR Rating 12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #79
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 26,0000
rank_ratio 1,5098
log_rank_ratio 0,4120
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 262,0000
best_rank_diff -7,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,1879
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,3333
surface_matches_ratio 0,9032
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 49,1871
surface_wr_p2 52,3750
surface_wr_p1_stable 46,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 56,0000
p2_surface_matches 62,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0714
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,4544
first_serve_won_diff -1,2849
second_serve_won_diff -5,0264
bp_saved_diff 1,9641
bp_converted_diff 2,4154
aces_per_match_diff -1,1520
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 8,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -44,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -36,3600
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5556
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4595
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5455
serve_consistency_p1 6,9871
serve_consistency_p2 10,4106
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,3134
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0341
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0498
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1800
utr_p1 0,4588
utr_p2 0,4800
utr_advantage -1,5013
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 11098
API ID 14903533
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Tokyo
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11098,
    "api_id": 14903533,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Emiliana Arango",
    "player2": "Varvara Gracheva",
    "tournament": "Tokyo",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2025-10-18T01:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "wr_surface": 54.83870967741935,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 12.08,
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      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 52.375,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 56,
    "p2_surface_matches": 62,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.07142857142857142,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
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    "serve_quality_diff": -4.454398629032262,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.2849250000000012,
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    "momentum_diff": -44.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -36.360000000000014,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
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    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4594594594594595,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
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    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.9870744500795405,
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    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
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    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
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    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
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    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
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    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
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    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
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    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
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    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}