Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez
Tokyo | Hard | Qualification Round 1
18 Oct 2025, 06:15
18 Oct 2025, 06:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Zeynep … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Sakkari
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
12.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#58
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
30/58 = 51.7%
Zeynep Sonmez
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
11.96 Pro
UTR Ranking
#114
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
36/65 = 55.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 61.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.1961 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.7867 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 422.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 66.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3.1242 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.4596 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8923 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49.5652 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52.6894 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51.6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55.0725 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 58.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 65.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0345 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5.2884 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2.2928 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.2787 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1.3151 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.0902 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.4128 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -38.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21.6350 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6193 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6019 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6364 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.4624 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.2441 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2.4577 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0653 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0879 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -3.1242 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4659 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.9048 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11107
API ID
14903537
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11107,
"api_id": 14903537,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Sakkari",
"player2": "Zeynep Sonmez",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-10-18T06:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.19,
"utr_ranking": 58,
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"wr_surface": 51.724137931034484,
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"wr_surface_total": 58,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.96,
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"wr_surface_wins": 36,
"wr_surface_total": 65,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": 66,
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"p1_surface_matches": 58,
"p2_surface_matches": 65,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.034482758620689655,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.288370075757577,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.2928117588932793,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.2787183794466443,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.3150834156785294,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.090208745059293,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.4127898550724636,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -37.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.635000000000005,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6192893401015228,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6018518518518519,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.462429694472778,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.244065721874945,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.457706082952486,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0653478260869565,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0878939393939393,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -3.1241765480895936,
"utr_diff": 0.22999999999999865,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
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}