Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elena Rybakina
Ningbo, China | Hard | Final
19 Oct 2025, 13:00
19 Oct 2025, 13:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ekaterina … | Elena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
24/40 = 60,0%
Elena Rybakina
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
12,98 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
43/55 = 78,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -6,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4545 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7885 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2475,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -19,7132 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -19,5897 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8161 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,4516 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 78,1648 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 76,9231 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 71,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 87,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1549 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,5082 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,6141 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,4218 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,2286 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0719 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,9873 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9128 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5172 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,8253 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,9360 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 15,5430 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0905 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2756 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5859 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,8663 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11125
API ID
14859078
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Ningbo, China
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11125,
"api_id": 14859078,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
"player2": "Elena Rybakina",
"tournament": "Ningbo, China",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-10-19T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 11,
"utr_singles": 12.74,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 5,
"utr_singles": 12.98,
"utr_ranking": 1,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 78.18181818181819,
"wr_surface_wins": 43,
"wr_surface_total": 55,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.74,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.98,
"ranking": 1,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -6,
"rank_ratio": 0.45454545454545453,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7884573603642702,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -2475,
"best_rank_diff": -7,
"surface_wr_diff": -19.71315982404691,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.5897435897436,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8160919540229885,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.45161290322581,
"surface_wr_p2": 78.16477272727272,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 76.92307692307693,
"p1_surface_matches": 71,
"p2_surface_matches": 87,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15492957746478872,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.508239956011735,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.6140923753665675,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.4217822580645247,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.22859237536656,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.0718753665689178,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.9873295454545454,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.862453531598513,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.912751677852349,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5172413793103449,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.825330846679273,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.936046562082362,
"surface_rank_synergy": 15.542985959307009,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09051612903225803,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.27564772727272724,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
"utr_p1": 0.5576470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.5858823529411765,
"utr_advantage": -1.8662519440124437,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}