Reilly Opelka vs Mika Brunold
Basel | Hard | Qualification Round 1
18 Oct 2025, 16:00
18 Oct 2025, 16:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Reilly … | Mika … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Reilly Opelka
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
21/35 = 60,0%
Mika Brunold
Ranking
#391
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#267
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
14/22 = 63,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 328,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,2063 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8256 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 752,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 272,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,0455 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,8431 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 59,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,9804 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,8235 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0213 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 29,0010 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8,4750 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,3300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,5250 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,8750 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 12,0323 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,4460 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0270 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4412 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,4230 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -18,3387 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3330 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,4235 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -20,0909 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7341 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,9284 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11127
API ID
14906083
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Basel
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11127,
"api_id": 14906083,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Reilly Opelka",
"player2": "Mika Brunold",
"tournament": "Basel",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-10-18T12:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.11,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 391,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 267,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 1.825572833593833,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 752,
"best_rank_diff": 272,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.04545454545454,
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"p1_surface_matches": 47,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.02127659574468085,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 29.001045454545448,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.475000000000009,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.3299999999999983,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.525000000000006,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.875000000000004,
"aces_per_match_diff": 12.032272727272726,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.445999999999998,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 98,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.027027027027027,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4411764705882353,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.4229972984261305,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": -18.338708919283494,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3330000000000001,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.4234545454545454,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -20.09090909090908,
"utr_diff": 0.8699999999999992,
"utr_p1": 0.8364705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.7341176470588235,
"utr_advantage": 5.928449744463368,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}