Alina Charaeva vs Rebecca Sramkova
Tokyo | Hard | Qualification Final
19 Oct 2025, 10:15
19 Oct 2025, 10:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alina … | Rebecca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alina Charaeva
Ranking
#163
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#212
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
5/11 = 45,5%
Rebecca Sramkova
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#101
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/36 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -90,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4479 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8033 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -478,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -109,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,8748 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,9416 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1892 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,8182 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,6930 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,1282 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,2066 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,9920 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,6658 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,8115 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,0498 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3514 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -19,2650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4038 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,2538 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,8361 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,3258 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0082 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0931 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4247 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4729 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,4702 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11145
API ID
14910203
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11145,
"api_id": 14910203,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alina Charaeva",
"player2": "Rebecca Sramkova",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-10-19T06:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 163,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 212,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 73,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 101,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.61,
"ranking": 212,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.02,
"ranking": 101,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -90,
"rank_ratio": 0.44785276073619634,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8032907596583712,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -478,
"best_rank_diff": -109,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.874800637958536,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.941595441595446,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1891891891891892,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.81818181818181,
"surface_wr_p2": 49.69298245614035,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.12820512820513,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.206596491228069,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.9920414673046238,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.665821371610853,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.811499202551836,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.0498405103668205,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3514354066985645,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": -18.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -19.265000000000015,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.40384615384615385,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.2538046643977,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.836084170742389,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.325754586623939,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.008181818181818123,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09307017543859647,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.41000000000000014,
"utr_p1": 0.4247058823529411,
"utr_p2": 0.4729411764705882,
"utr_advantage": -3.470165044435042,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}