Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima
Vienna | Hard | Round of 32
20 Oct 2025, 11:30
20 Oct 2025, 11:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luciano … | Brandon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luciano Darderi
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
15.29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#81
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
8/35 = 22.9%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15.61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#50
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
57/95 = 60.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 7.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.2692 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.2384 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 179.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 3.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -31.9780 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -33.9549 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.3684 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 25.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56.9780 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 25.6410 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59.5960 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 95.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.5429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6.2048 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4.8682 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.2457 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -11.6903 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5.7147 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.5485 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8.9740 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7251 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9785 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4211 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4902 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11.5784 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.5608 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -7.6239 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2570 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0768 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8953 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.0712 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11176
API ID
14909961
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Vienna
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 11176,
"api_id": 14909961,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Luciano Darderi",
"player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
"tournament": "Vienna",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-20T11:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.29,
"utr_ranking": 81,
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"wr_surface": 22.857142857142858,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 57,
"wr_surface_total": 95,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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},
"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": -31.978021978021985,
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"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 95,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5428571428571428,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.204798717948719,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.868159340659346,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.2456813186813136,
"bp_saved_diff": -11.69032417582418,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.714736263736263,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.5485073260073259,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.974000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7251461988304093,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9785407725321889,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42105263157894735,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.49019607843137253,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.57839920210053,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.560826894564523,
"surface_rank_synergy": -7.623912947526866,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.257,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07678021978021987,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3200000000000003,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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}