Ugo Humbert vs Casper Ruud
Stockholm | Hard | Final
19 Oct 2025, 17:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ugo … Casper … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Humbert
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 15,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #38
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/29 = 62,1%
Casper Ruud
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #22
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 22/33 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -20,0000
rank_ratio 0,3939
log_rank_ratio -0,9316
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -1285,0000
best_rank_diff -11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,6799
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,5955
surface_matches_ratio 0,9583
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,4483
surface_wr_p2 65,1282
surface_wr_p1_stable 65,7534
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,1579
p1_surface_matches 69,0000
p2_surface_matches 72,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,3466
first_serve_won_diff 1,5641
second_serve_won_diff 1,1942
bp_saved_diff -1,5260
bp_converted_diff -2,8333
aces_per_match_diff 1,1031
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8261
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2783
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3182
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 5,4138
serve_consistency_p2 7,8025
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,6334
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1645
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1313
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1400
utr_p1 0,8741
utr_p2 0,8906
utr_advantage -0,9032
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 11178
API ID 14851804
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Stockholm
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11178,
    "api_id": 14851804,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ugo Humbert",
    "player2": "Casper Ruud",
    "tournament": "Stockholm",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-10-19T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 15.43,
      "utr_ranking": 38,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 13,
      "utr_singles": 15.57,
      "utr_ranking": 22,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.43,
      "ranking": 38,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.57,
      "ranking": 22,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 0.3939393939393939,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.9315582040049435,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -1285,
    "best_rank_diff": -11,
    "surface_wr_diff": -0.6799292661361562,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.5955299206921367,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9583333333333334,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.44827586206895,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.12820512820511,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.75342465753424,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.1578947368421,
    "p1_surface_matches": 69,
    "p2_surface_matches": 72,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.34657191343139,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.564134012539185,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.1942342657342806,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.5260198738043442,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.8332655534121116,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.1031173137207615,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8260869565217391,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2782874617737003,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3181818181818182,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.413767402739519,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.802456675589936,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.6333936860121969,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1644827586206895,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13128205128205106,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.14000000000000057,
    "utr_p1": 0.8741176470588234,
    "utr_p2": 0.8905882352941177,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9032258064516167,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}