Ugo Humbert vs Casper Ruud
Stockholm | Hard | Final
19 Oct 2025, 13:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ugo … Casper … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Humbert
Ranking #37
UTR Rating 15.64 Pro
UTR Ranking #42
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 46/69 = 66.7%
Casper Ruud
Ranking #12
UTR Rating 15.99 Pro
UTR Ranking #12
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 46/72 = 63.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -25.0000
rank_ratio 0.3243
log_rank_ratio -1.1260
rank_tier_advantage -1.0000
points_diff -1455.0000
best_rank_diff -11.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0.6799
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2.5955
surface_matches_ratio 0.9583
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2.0000
surface_wr_p1 64.4483
surface_wr_p2 65.1282
surface_wr_p1_stable 65.7534
surface_wr_p2_stable 63.1579
p1_surface_matches 69.0000
p2_surface_matches 72.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3.3466
first_serve_won_diff 1.5641
second_serve_won_diff 1.1942
bp_saved_diff -1.5260
bp_converted_diff -2.8333
aces_per_match_diff 1.1031
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 92.0000
momentum_p2 90.0000
momentum_diff 2.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0.0000
match_load_p1 3.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.8261
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.2783
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.3182
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5000
serve_consistency_p1 5.4138
serve_consistency_p2 7.8025
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.7656
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1695
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1263
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.3500
utr_p1 0.8988
utr_p2 0.9400
utr_advantage -2.2131
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 11178
API ID 14851804
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Stockholm
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11178,
    "api_id": 14851804,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ugo Humbert",
    "player2": "Casper Ruud",
    "tournament": "Stockholm",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-10-19T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 46,
      "wr_surface_total": 69,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 12,
      "utr_singles": 15.99,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.888888888888886,
      "wr_surface_wins": 46,
      "wr_surface_total": 72,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.5955299206921367,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9583333333333334,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 65.12820512820511,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.75342465753424,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.1578947368421,
    "p1_surface_matches": 69,
    "p2_surface_matches": 72,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.34657191343139,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.564134012539185,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.1942342657342806,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.5260198738043442,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.8332655534121116,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.1031173137207615,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
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    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8260869565217391,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2782874617737003,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3181818181818182,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.413767402739519,
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    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.7656080116148789,
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    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
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    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
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    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
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    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
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    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}