David Goffin vs Marin Čilić
Basel | Hard | Qualification Final
19 Oct 2025, 16:25
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente David … Marin … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
David Goffin
Ranking #117
UTR Rating 14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #105
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/31 = 38,7%
Marin Čilić
Ranking #70
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 9/18 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -47,0000
rank_ratio 0,5983
log_rank_ratio -0,5137
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -265,0000
best_rank_diff -4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,4915
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,6512
surface_matches_ratio 2,2778
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,5085
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,6512
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 82,0000
p2_surface_matches 36,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0976
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -14,2207
first_serve_won_diff -7,1493
second_serve_won_diff -2,8921
bp_saved_diff -10,8535
bp_converted_diff -3,6517
aces_per_match_diff -4,8892
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,2350
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8920
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8493
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4375
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3636
serve_consistency_p1 4,7192
serve_consistency_p2 10,5179
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,7935
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0121
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0470
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8059
utr_p2 0,8059
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 11191
API ID 14910468
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Basel
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11191,
    "api_id": 14910468,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "David Goffin",
    "player2": "Marin \u010cili\u0107",
    "tournament": "Basel",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2025-10-19T12:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 117,
      "utr_singles": 14.85,
      "utr_ranking": 105,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 38.70967741935484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 70,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.85,
      "ranking": 105,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -47,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5982905982905983,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5136786927483972,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -265,
    "best_rank_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.4914611005692606,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.6511627906976685,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.2777777777777777,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.50853889943074,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.65116279069767,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 82,
    "p2_surface_matches": 36,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0975609756097561,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -14.220716002530047,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.14933586337763,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.892055660974073,
    "bp_saved_diff": -10.853507273877284,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.6517046173308074,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.889215686274509,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_diff": -12.000000000000014,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.234999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.892,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8493150684931506,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.719155938595823,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.517899751306246,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.7934891739222978,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.012085388994307444,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04700000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "utr_p1": 0.8058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.8058823529411764,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}