Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Basel | Hard | Round of 32
20 Oct 2025, 17:25
20 Oct 2025, 17:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lorenzo … | Alejandro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Sonego
Ranking
#40
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#49
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
20/40 = 50,0%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking
#14
UTR Rating
15,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
29/46 = 63,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -26,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0498 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1395,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12,2855 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,5801 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9125 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,7273 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0128 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46,7532 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 73,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 80,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0685 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,6942 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,3753 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,4109 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,6743 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,6752 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,2649 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,4700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2821 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8038 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4688 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5227 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,7607 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,8053 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 12,8976 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0033 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0741 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8965 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,0699 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11234
API ID
14909978
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Basel
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11234,
"api_id": 14909978,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lorenzo Sonego",
"player2": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
"tournament": "Basel",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-20T13:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 40,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 49,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 14,
"utr_singles": 15.62,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.04347826086957,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 49,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.35,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0498221244986778,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -1395,
"best_rank_diff": -7,
"surface_wr_diff": -12.28551499651244,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.580086580086586,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9125,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 60.012787723785166,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.75324675324675,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"p1_surface_matches": 73,
"p2_surface_matches": 80,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.0684931506849315,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.694180219716358,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.375330155777732,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.4108838060916042,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.674320797488946,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.67517524994188,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.2648901418274816,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.469999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.282122905027933,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8038147138964578,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46875,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5227272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.760734484546778,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.805344460534004,
"surface_rank_synergy": 12.897605454199056,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.003272727272727316,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07412787723785164,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3199999999999985,
"utr_p1": 0.8588235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.896470588235294,
"utr_advantage": -2.069857697283302,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}