Marcos Giron vs Holger Rune
Basel | Hard | Round of 32
21 Oct 2025, 10:00
21 Oct 2025, 10:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marcos … | Holger … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marcos Giron
Ranking
#64
UTR Rating
15.55 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
29/60 = 48.3%
Holger Rune
Ranking
#15
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
54/81 = 66.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -49.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2344 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.4508 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1735.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -33.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -20.2799 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -17.4449 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7407 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45.9375 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66.2174 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48.4375 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65.8824 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 81.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2.9019 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.8933 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.7605 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.3807 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.9339 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.5136 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -18.9900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8699 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1432 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5200 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5588 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.5553 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.2885 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 29.4227 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0084 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1132 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8882 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11237
API ID
14909962
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Basel
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11237,
"api_id": 14909962,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Marcos Giron",
"player2": "Holger Rune",
"tournament": "Basel",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-21T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.55,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 60,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 15,
"utr_singles": null,
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"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
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"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 54,
"wr_surface_total": 81,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": null,
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.234375,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.4508328822574619,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1735,
"best_rank_diff": -33,
"surface_wr_diff": -20.279891304347814,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.444852941176464,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7407407407407407,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 45.9375,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.21739130434781,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.4375,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.88235294117646,
"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 81,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.03333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.9019116847826183,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.8932744565217519,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.760516304347817,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.38070652173912833,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.9338722826086965,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5135597826086951,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -18.990000000000002,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8698630136986302,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.143236074270557,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.52,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5588235294117647,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.555334932342123,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.288461814480437,
"surface_rank_synergy": 29.422733152954976,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.008375000000000021,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11317391304347812,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8882352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.8882352941176471,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}