Marcos Giron vs Holger Rune
Basel | Hard | Round of 32
21 Oct 2025, 10:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marcos … Holger … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marcos Giron
Ranking #64
UTR Rating 15.55 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 29/60 = 48.3%
Holger Rune
Ranking #15
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 54/81 = 66.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -49.0000
rank_ratio 0.2344
log_rank_ratio -1.4508
rank_tier_advantage -2.0000
points_diff -1735.0000
best_rank_diff -33.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -20.2799
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -17.4449
surface_matches_ratio 0.7407
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 45.9375
surface_wr_p2 66.2174
surface_wr_p1_stable 48.4375
surface_wr_p2_stable 65.8824
p1_surface_matches 60.0000
p2_surface_matches 81.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.0333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2.9019
first_serve_won_diff -0.8933
second_serve_won_diff -4.7605
bp_saved_diff 0.3807
bp_converted_diff -5.9339
aces_per_match_diff -0.5136
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.4000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 30.0000
momentum_p2 52.0000
momentum_diff -22.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -18.9900
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 4.0000
match_load_diff -2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.8699
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.1432
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5200
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5588
serve_consistency_p1 7.5553
serve_consistency_p2 5.2885
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 29.4227
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0084
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1132
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.0000
utr_p1 0.8882
utr_p2 0.8882
utr_advantage 0.0000
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 0.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 11237
API ID 14909962
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Basel
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11237,
    "api_id": 14909962,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Marcos Giron",
    "player2": "Holger Rune",
    "tournament": "Basel",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-10-21T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 64,
      "utr_singles": 15.55,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 60,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 15,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 54,
      "wr_surface_total": 81,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.55,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -49,
    "rank_ratio": 0.234375,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.4508328822574619,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "points_diff": -1735,
    "best_rank_diff": -33,
    "surface_wr_diff": -20.279891304347814,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.444852941176464,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7407407407407407,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 45.9375,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.21739130434781,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.4375,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.88235294117646,
    "p1_surface_matches": 60,
    "p2_surface_matches": 81,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.03333333333333333,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.9019116847826183,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.8932744565217519,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.760516304347817,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.38070652173912833,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.9338722826086965,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.5135597826086951,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "momentum_diff": -22.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -18.990000000000002,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8698630136986302,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.143236074270557,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.52,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5588235294117647,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.555334932342123,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.288461814480437,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 29.422733152954976,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.008375000000000021,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11317391304347812,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "utr_p1": 0.8882352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.8882352941176471,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}