Sebastián Báez vs Reilly Opelka
Basel | Hard | Round of 32
21 Oct 2025, 10:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sebastián … Reilly … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastián Báez
Ranking #45
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 8/31 = 25.8%
Reilly Opelka
Ranking #50
UTR Rating 15.33 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 24/47 = 51.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 5.0000
rank_ratio 1.1111
log_rank_ratio 0.1054
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 129.0000
best_rank_diff -1.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -25.6765
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -22.4090
surface_matches_ratio 0.6596
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 23.8235
surface_wr_p2 49.5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 28.5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.9804
p1_surface_matches 31.0000
p2_surface_matches 47.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.4839
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -36.1709
first_serve_won_diff -10.3350
second_serve_won_diff -6.3800
bp_saved_diff -17.7991
bp_converted_diff 10.3621
aces_per_match_diff -14.5447
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.2000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 20.0000
momentum_p2 70.0000
momentum_diff -50.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -40.3560
current_streak_diff -4.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff -2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.6667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.0270
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.4412
serve_consistency_p1 44.3975
serve_consistency_p2 0.8447
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2.7053
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.2668
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.0000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.0000
utr_p1 0.8624
utr_p2 0.8624
utr_advantage 0.0000
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 0.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 11238
API ID 14914055
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Basel
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
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    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-10-21T10:00:00+00:00",
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