Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Arnaldi
Vienna | Hard | Round of 32
20 Oct 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aleksandar … Matteo … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking #60
UTR Rating 14.81 Pro
UTR Ranking #111
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 46/91 = 50.5%
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking #61
UTR Rating 15.42 Pro
UTR Ranking #66
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 33/65 = 50.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 1.0000
rank_ratio 1.0167
log_rank_ratio 0.0165
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 7.0000
best_rank_diff -30.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1.3115
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0.1983
surface_matches_ratio 1.4000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2.0000
surface_wr_p1 51.1884
surface_wr_p2 49.8769
surface_wr_p1_stable 50.5263
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.7246
p1_surface_matches 91.0000
p2_surface_matches 65.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0110
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6.2225
first_serve_won_diff 3.8600
second_serve_won_diff 0.3220
bp_saved_diff 1.3269
bp_converted_diff -1.5306
aces_per_match_diff 2.0979
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 78.0000
momentum_p2 72.0000
momentum_diff 6.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2.5500
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 4.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.0000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.0882
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.7625
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4510
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.6897
serve_consistency_p1 5.2179
serve_consistency_p2 3.0395
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0217
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0109
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.0002
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.6100
utr_p1 0.8012
utr_p2 0.8729
utr_advantage -4.0357
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 11240
API ID 14914012
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Vienna
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11240,
    "api_id": 14914012,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
    "player2": "Matteo Arnaldi",
    "tournament": "Vienna",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-10-20T14:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 60,
      "utr_singles": 14.81,
      "utr_ranking": 111,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.54945054945055,
      "wr_surface_wins": 46,
      "wr_surface_total": 91,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 61,
      "utr_singles": 15.42,
      "utr_ranking": 66,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.76923076923077,
      "wr_surface_wins": 33,
      "wr_surface_total": 65,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.81,
      "ranking": 111,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.42,
      "ranking": 66,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 1,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0166666666666666,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.016529301951210506,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": 7,
    "best_rank_diff": -30,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.311511857707508,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.19832189168573677,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.188405797101446,
    "surface_wr_p2": 49.87689393939394,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.526315789473685,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.72463768115942,
    "p1_surface_matches": 91,
    "p2_surface_matches": 65,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.01098901098901099,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.222453260869571,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.859986330698277,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.32199588274044544,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.3269380764163472,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.530643610013172,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.0979306653491445,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.5500000000000114,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.088235294117647,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7625,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45098039215686275,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6896551724137931,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.217916888923031,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.0394880639633253,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.021678375508640428,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.010884057971014438,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.00023106060606059575,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.6099999999999994,
    "utr_p1": 0.8011764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.8729411764705882,
    "utr_advantage": -4.035726099900757,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}