Diana Shnaider vs Dayana Yastremska
Tokyo | Hard | Round of 32
21 Oct 2025, 01:30
21 Oct 2025, 01:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Diana … | Dayana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Diana Shnaider
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
12.33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
48/77 = 62.3%
Dayana Yastremska
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
12.30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
30/56 = 53.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 6.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.2857 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.2513 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 262.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 10.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2.8224 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8.3951 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.3750 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56.9986 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54.1762 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61.7284 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53.3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 77.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2468 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3.4740 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0948 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.0023 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.7028 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.3370 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.3103 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 18.3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8640 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7851 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6923 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13.9369 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.3985 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.7093 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0640 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0478 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5059 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.2436 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11244
API ID
14908852
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11244,
"api_id": 14908852,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Diana Shnaider",
"player2": "Dayana Yastremska",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-21T01:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.33,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 62.33766233766234,
"wr_surface_wins": 48,
"wr_surface_total": 77,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.3,
"utr_ranking": 38,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 36,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 38,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 262,
"best_rank_diff": 10,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.8223522647278543,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.395061728395056,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.375,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
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"surface_wr_p2": 54.176245210727956,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.72839506172839,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"p1_surface_matches": 77,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.24675324675324675,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.4739731800766194,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.09478927203065268,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.0022605363984596,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.7027586206896572,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.3370114942528843,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3103448275862064,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 18.30000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.864,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7850746268656716,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6923076923076923,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.936906983367228,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.398452765305962,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.7092978458174014,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06398597475455814,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.047762452107279585,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.02999999999999936,
"utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.5058823529411766,
"utr_advantage": 0.24360535931789978,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}