Leylah Fernandez vs Maria Sakkari
Tokyo | Hard | Round of 32
21 Oct 2025, 05:30
21 Oct 2025, 05:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Leylah … | Maria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leylah Fernandez
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
12,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#20
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
28/43 = 65,1%
Maria Sakkari
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
12,17 Pro
UTR Ranking
#60
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/35 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 30,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,3043 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8348 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 688,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -10,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,3615 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2759 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,0653 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,5652 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,9744 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,6129 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 58,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1892 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,5463 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,5293 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,6898 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0975 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,9854 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5126 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10,9800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8798 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6193 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4615 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,2308 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,1180 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 9,6002 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0807 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0257 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 11,5000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4906 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,9150 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11245
API ID
14913176
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11245,
"api_id": 14913176,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Leylah Fernandez",
"player2": "Maria Sakkari",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-21T01:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 23,
"utr_singles": 12.53,
"utr_ranking": 20,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.11627906976744,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 53,
"utr_singles": 12.17,
"utr_ranking": 60,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.53,
"ranking": 20,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.17,
"ranking": 60,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 30,
"rank_ratio": 2.3043478260869565,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8347976976229722,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 688,
"best_rank_diff": -10,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.500048925274797,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.36145574855253,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2758620689655173,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.06526631657914,
"surface_wr_p2": 49.565217391304344,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.61290322580645,
"p1_surface_matches": 74,
"p2_surface_matches": 58,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1891891891891892,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.546278769692421,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.5292538569424892,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.689792426367461,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.09749509116409172,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.985427769985975,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5126429433445314,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.97999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8798283261802575,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6192893401015228,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.46153846153846156,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.230765399966826,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.117965295824915,
"surface_rank_synergy": 9.600214365370936,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08065266316579134,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.025652173913043474,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 11.500048925274797,
"utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
"utr_p1": 0.5329411764705881,
"utr_p2": 0.49058823529411766,
"utr_advantage": 2.9149797570850158,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}