Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov
Basel | Hard | Round of 32
21 Oct 2025, 19:20
21 Oct 2025, 19:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marcos … | Denis … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marcos Giron
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Denis Shapovalov
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
23/37 = 62,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -28,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4510 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7963 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -665,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -27,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15,4139 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,8189 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8108 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45,9375 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,4375 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,2564 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,9090 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,6939 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,3750 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,9938 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,3842 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,0747 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,2140 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 3,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,6648 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8699 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7597 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5200 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,5553 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8942 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 12,2745 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0126 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0855 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,3263 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11295
API ID
14914131
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Basel
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11295,
"api_id": 14914131,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Marcos Giron",
"player2": "Denis Shapovalov",
"tournament": "Basel",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-21T15:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.35,
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"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 62.16216216216216,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"division": "Pro",
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -665,
"best_rank_diff": -27,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
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"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.03333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.90897043918919,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.693944256756751,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.375016891891882,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.993817567567575,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.384248310810811,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.074746621621621,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.213999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 3,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.664837088149806,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.39999999999999997,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8698630136986302,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7596685082872928,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.52,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.555334932342123,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.89422071083751,
"surface_rank_synergy": 12.274534084891858,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.012624999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08551351351351344,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.049999999999998934,
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"utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_advantage": -0.3262642740619833,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}