Sebastian Korda vs Ugo Humbert
Basel | Hard | Round of 32
22 Oct 2025, 11:40
22 Oct 2025, 11:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastian … | Ugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Korda
Ranking
#48
UTR Rating
15.71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
35/59 = 59.3%
Ugo Humbert
Ranking
#37
UTR Rating
15.64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
46/69 = 66.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -11.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.7708 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.2603 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -280.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -2.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6.1609 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7.0233 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8551 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58.2874 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64.4483 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58.7302 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65.7534 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 59.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1864 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.6522 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.5033 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.0585 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.0607 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.0653 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.4107 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10.8200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9573 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8261 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3182 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.6048 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.2256 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1.6036 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0939 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1335 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8988 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.4466 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11299
API ID
14909968
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Basel
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sebastian Korda",
"player2": "Ugo Humbert",
"tournament": "Basel",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-22T11:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"best_rank_diff": -2,
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"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1864406779661017,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.6522456896551745,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.50329597701149,
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"bp_saved_diff": -1.0607270114942509,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.06534770114942745,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4107183908045977,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
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"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.819999999999993,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9572953736654805,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8260869565217391,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3181818181818182,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.604824807032387,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.22558068043055,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.6035832260841956,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0938735632183908,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13348275862068948,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.07000000000000028,
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"utr_advantage": 0.4465709728867642,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}