Heather Watson vs Maria Timofeeva
Singapore | Hard | Qualification Round 1
25 Jan 2025, 07:55
25 Jan 2025, 07:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Heather … | Maria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Heather Watson
Ranking
#268
UTR Rating
11.68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#185
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41.4%
Maria Timofeeva
Ranking
#143
UTR Rating
11.90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#129
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
13/26 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -125.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5336 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.6281 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -249.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 55.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7.6450 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6.9444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1154 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 38.7879 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 31.1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42.4242 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4.6432 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6.5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.5700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2.2800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4.0400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.9321 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 33.3333 | |
| momentum_p2 | 33.3333 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3.6667 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 17.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 17.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7851 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.1429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3.9294 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.4650 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4.8022 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0129 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.3136 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4588 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.8660 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
1133
API ID
13384102
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Singapore
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1133,
"api_id": 13384102,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Heather Watson",
"player2": "Maria Timofeeva",
"tournament": "Singapore",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-01-25T07:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 268,
"utr_singles": 11.68,
"utr_ranking": 185,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 143,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 129,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 185,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 129,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.5335820895522388,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6281423502509493,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -249,
"best_rank_diff": 55,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.645021645021647,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.944444444444447,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1153846153846154,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 38.78787878787879,
"surface_wr_p2": 31.142857142857142,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.42424242424242,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.643155844155842,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.5699999999999932,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.280000000000001,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.039999999999999,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9320779220779221,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"momentum_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.6666666666666714,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 17,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7851239669421488,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.92937344432111,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.464983625756515,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.802161863823276,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.012878787878787878,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.31357142857142856,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.22000000000000064,
"utr_p1": 0.4329411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_advantage": -1.8659881255301158,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
"utr_available": "0.018"
}
}