Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jaqueline Cristian
Tokyo | Hard | Round of 16
23 Oct 2025, 08:55
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ekaterina … Jaqueline … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking #11
UTR Rating 12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 24/40 = 60,0%
Jaqueline Cristian
Ranking #35
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 19/34 = 55,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 24,0000
rank_ratio 3,1818
log_rank_ratio 1,1575
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 1948,0000
best_rank_diff 25,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,9891
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,0647
surface_matches_ratio 1,1270
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,4516
surface_wr_p2 49,4625
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,2687
p1_surface_matches 71,0000
p2_surface_matches 63,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1549
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,2253
first_serve_won_diff 4,7341
second_serve_won_diff 1,5605
bp_saved_diff 4,9875
bp_converted_diff 2,1950
aces_per_match_diff 2,1951
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,5950
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8625
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6327
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 6,7478
serve_consistency_p2 3,5962
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,4045
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0605
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0186
elite_surface_amplifier 8,9891
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5576
utr_p2 0,5576
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 11370
API ID 14896920
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Tokyo
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11370,
    "api_id": 14896920,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
    "player2": "Jaqueline Cristian",
    "tournament": "Tokyo",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-10-23T04:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 11,
      "utr_singles": 12.74,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 35,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.74,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 24,
    "rank_ratio": 3.1818181818181817,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.157452788691043,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "points_diff": 1948,
    "best_rank_diff": 25,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.989138258195382,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.064676616915428,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.126984126984127,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.45161290322581,
    "surface_wr_p2": 49.462474645030426,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.26865671641791,
    "p1_surface_matches": 71,
    "p2_surface_matches": 63,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.15492957746478872,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.225305862723289,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.734100552901914,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.5605138879801075,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.987500654321792,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.195012513904338,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.1950507099391476,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.000000000000007,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5949999999999847,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.862453531598513,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6327433628318584,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.7478141209945495,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.5961601731615787,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.40450314487759,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.060516129032258004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.018624746450304264,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 8.989138258195382,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "utr_p1": 0.5576470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.5576470588235294,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}