Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Bublik
Vienna | Hard | Round of 16
23 Oct 2025, 15:05
23 Oct 2025, 15:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Francisco … | Alexander … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francisco Cerundolo
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
15.65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#40
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
25/49 = 51.0%
Alexander Bublik
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
16.13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
36/66 = 54.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -10.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5238 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.6466 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -785.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0.3889 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.3423 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7424 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54.8889 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.9434 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.2857 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 49.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 66.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0204 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -18.6335 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8.6300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.9459 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7.4266 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4.7765 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7.6011 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12.4200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7027 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9455 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.5727 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.5760 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.2515 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0550 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0389 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9565 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.0208 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11406
API ID
14896615
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Vienna
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11406,
"api_id": 14896615,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Francisco Cerundolo",
"player2": "Alexander Bublik",
"tournament": "Vienna",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-23T15:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.65,
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"wr_surface": 51.02040816326531,
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"wr_surface_total": 49,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 16.13,
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"wr_surface_wins": 36,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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},
"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": -7,
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"p1_surface_matches": 49,
"p2_surface_matches": 66,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.02040816326530612,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -18.633461111111096,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.63002777777777,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.945916666666662,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.426611111111114,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.776472222222218,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.601111111111109,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": 10.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.420000000000002,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7027027027027027,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9454545454545454,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.572671508221253,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.575979619435115,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.2514661196930739,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05500000000000005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03888888888888886,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.47999999999999865,
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"utr_advantage": -3.020767778477021,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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}