Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverev
Vienna | Hard | Round of 16
23 Oct 2025, 20:10
23 Oct 2025, 20:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Alexander … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#65
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Alexander Zverev
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
32/45 = 71,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -62,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0462 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3,0758 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -4247,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -28,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22,8421 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -22,2754 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6771 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,8769 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 72,7190 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,7246 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 73,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 65,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 96,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0154 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,5651 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,0394 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,6356 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,5961 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,9390 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,5773 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15,2500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0395 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6897 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5400 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,2031 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,6821 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 70,2570 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0608 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1652 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9106 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,7540 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11407
API ID
14896617
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Vienna
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11407,
"api_id": 14896617,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"player2": "Alexander Zverev",
"tournament": "Vienna",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-23T16:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 65,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 15.74,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.046153846153846156,
"log_rank_ratio": -3.0757749812275272,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"points_diff": -4247,
"best_rank_diff": -28,
"surface_wr_diff": -22.84206030897208,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -22.27536231884058,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6770833333333334,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 72.71895424836602,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.72463768115942,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 73.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 65,
"p2_surface_matches": 96,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.015384615384615385,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.565090032679734,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.039435606060593,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.635586675579319,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.596124777183611,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.9389812834224642,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.577348113487819,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": 27.99999999999997,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.25,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": -2,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0394557823129251,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6896551724137931,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.54,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.2031291218356546,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.682140911770028,
"surface_rank_synergy": 70.25703761802664,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06076893939393946,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16518954248366013,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5800000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.8423529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.9105882352941177,
"utr_advantage": -3.7540453074433664,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 2
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}