Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverev
Vienna | Hard | Round of 16
23 Oct 2025, 16:10
23 Oct 2025, 16:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Alexander … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
33/65 = 50.8%
Alexander Zverev
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
15.97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
71/96 = 74.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -58.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.0492 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3.0123 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3.0000 | |
| points_diff | -4277.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -28.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22.8421 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -22.2754 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6771 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49.8769 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 72.7190 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.7246 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 73.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 65.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 96.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0154 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5.5651 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.0394 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.6356 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4.5961 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1.9390 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.5773 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15.2500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -2.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0395 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6897 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5400 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3.2031 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.6821 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 68.8063 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0568 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1692 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.5500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9376 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.5043 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11407
API ID
14896617
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Vienna
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"api_id": 14896617,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"player2": "Alexander Zverev",
"tournament": "Vienna",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-23T16:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.42,
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"wr_surface_total": 65,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"utr": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
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"best_rank_diff": -28,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 73.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 65,
"p2_surface_matches": 96,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.015384615384615385,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.565090032679734,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.039435606060593,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.635586675579319,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.596124777183611,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.9389812834224642,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.577348113487819,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": 27.99999999999997,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.25,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": -2,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0394557823129251,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6896551724137931,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.54,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.2031291218356546,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.682140911770028,
"surface_rank_synergy": 68.80626057408908,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.056768939393939455,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16918954248366014,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5500000000000007,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 2
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
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}