Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini
Vienna | Hard | Quarterfinals
24 Oct 2025, 15:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alex … Matteo … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex de Minaur
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 15,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 39/55 = 70,9%
Matteo Berrettini
Ranking #57
UTR Rating 15,45 Pro
UTR Ranking #31
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/28 = 53,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 51,0000
rank_ratio 9,5000
log_rank_ratio 2,2513
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 3135,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,2771
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,6667
surface_matches_ratio 2,0851
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 70,5666
surface_wr_p2 53,2895
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,6078
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,9412
p1_surface_matches 98,0000
p2_surface_matches 47,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4082
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -12,9444
first_serve_won_diff -2,7428
second_serve_won_diff 6,1849
bp_saved_diff -3,5651
bp_converted_diff 2,0618
aces_per_match_diff -6,7142
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,0700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8981
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0255
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6071
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5294
serve_consistency_p1 3,6303
serve_consistency_p2 2,4882
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 38,8958
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1547
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0839
elite_surface_amplifier 51,8314
UTR
utr_diff 0,4400
utr_p1 0,9282
utr_p2 0,8765
utr_advantage 2,8079
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 11410
API ID 14896621
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Vienna
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11410,
    "api_id": 14896621,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alex de Minaur",
    "player2": "Matteo Berrettini",
    "tournament": "Vienna",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-10-24T11:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
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      "wr_surface_total": 55,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.6078431372549,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "p1_surface_matches": 98,
    "p2_surface_matches": 47,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.40816326530612246,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
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    "serve_quality_diff": -12.944366590630906,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.742845888505599,
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    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
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    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
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    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
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    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8981324278438031,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0254777070063694,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
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    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
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    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
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    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
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    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
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}