Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakina
Tokyo | Hard | Quarterfinals
24 Oct 2025, 06:20
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Victoria … Elena … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Mboko
Ranking #16
UTR Rating 12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #13
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 20/26 = 76,9%
Elena Rybakina
Ranking #5
UTR Rating 12,98 Pro
UTR Ranking #1
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 43/55 = 78,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -11,0000
rank_ratio 0,3125
log_rank_ratio -1,1632
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -3403,0000
best_rank_diff -13,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,2417
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,3504
surface_matches_ratio 0,2989
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 76,9231
surface_wr_p2 78,1648
surface_wr_p1_stable 73,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 76,9231
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 87,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5385
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,3248
first_serve_won_diff -4,5213
second_serve_won_diff 1,1172
bp_saved_diff -2,9516
bp_converted_diff 7,7966
aces_per_match_diff -1,1996
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -10,3010
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5060
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9128
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1250
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5172
serve_consistency_p1 13,5117
serve_consistency_p2 6,4794
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,4443
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2802
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2706
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3600
utr_p1 0,5435
utr_p2 0,5859
utr_advantage -2,8125
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 11412
API ID 14896924
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Tokyo
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11412,
    "api_id": 14896924,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Victoria Mboko",
    "player2": "Elena Rybakina",
    "tournament": "Tokyo",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-10-24T02:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 16,
      "utr_singles": 12.62,
      "utr_ranking": 13,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 5,
      "utr_singles": 12.98,
      "utr_ranking": 1,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 78.18181818181819,
      "wr_surface_wins": 43,
      "wr_surface_total": 55,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 13,
      "division": "Pro",
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 1,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 0.3125,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.1631508098056809,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
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    "best_rank_diff": -13,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.2416958041957855,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.350427350427365,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.2988505747126437,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 78.16477272727272,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 76.92307692307693,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 87,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5384615384615384,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.324758566433559,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.5212604895104676,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.1171538461538475,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.9516258741258667,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.796624125874132,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.1996372377622375,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": -29.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -10.300999999999988,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5059839319616,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36666666666666664,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.912751677852349,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5172413793103449,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.511677277681603,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.479441218361969,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.444279480182644,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2802307692307694,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.27064772727272723,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.3600000000000012,
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    "utr_advantage": -2.8125000000000093,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}