Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalov
Basel | Hard | Quarterfinals
24 Oct 2025, 13:30
24 Oct 2025, 13:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Joao … | Denis … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joao Fonseca
Ranking
#24
UTR Rating
15.92 Pro
UTR Ranking
#18
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
45/59 = 76.3%
Denis Shapovalov
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
15.69 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
45/74 = 60.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.9583 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.0426 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -40.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -14.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15.7232 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14.3468 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7973 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 77.0746 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61.3514 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 74.6032 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60.2564 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 59.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.5254 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5.4606 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1.0881 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.3988 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.7251 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0.7411 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.2484 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -26.4460 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1493 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7597 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7391 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.5125 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.5262 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.6692 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2717 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1125 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9318 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9047 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.4552 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11433
API ID
14895972
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Basel
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11433,
"api_id": 14895972,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Joao Fonseca",
"player2": "Denis Shapovalov",
"tournament": "Basel",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-10-24T13:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.92,
"utr_ranking": 18,
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"wr_surface": 76.27118644067797,
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"wr_surface_total": 59,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.69,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": -14,
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"p1_surface_matches": 59,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5254237288135594,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.460562149562151,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.0881087381087298,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.3988382788382765,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.7251083601083579,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.7411138411138367,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.2484281484281485,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": -31.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -26.446000000000012,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1492537313432836,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7596685082872928,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7391304347826086,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.512534528696293,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.5262340107994135,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.6691750625950342,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.27174592074592063,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11251351351351346,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.23000000000000043,
"utr_p1": 0.9317647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.9047058823529411,
"utr_advantage": 1.4552356849098413,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}