Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalov
Basel | Hard | Quarterfinals
24 Oct 2025, 17:30
24 Oct 2025, 17:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Joao … | Denis … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joao Fonseca
Ranking
#32
UTR Rating
15,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/33 = 78,8%
Denis Shapovalov
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
23/37 = 62,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -9,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7188 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3302 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -140,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -14,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,7232 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,3468 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7973 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 77,0746 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 74,6032 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,2564 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 59,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5254 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,4606 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,0881 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,3988 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,7251 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,7411 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,2484 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -26,4460 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1493 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7597 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7391 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5125 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,5262 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5,1925 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2797 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1045 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,3588 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11433
API ID
14895972
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Basel
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11433,
"api_id": 14895972,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Joao Fonseca",
"player2": "Denis Shapovalov",
"tournament": "Basel",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-10-24T13:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 32,
"utr_singles": 15.56,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 78.78787878787878,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 23,
"utr_singles": 15.35,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.16216216216216,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.56,
"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.71875,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.33024168687057687,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -140,
"best_rank_diff": -14,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.723240723240714,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.346764346764353,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7972972972972973,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 77.07459207459206,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.35135135135135,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 74.60317460317461,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.256410256410255,
"p1_surface_matches": 59,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5254237288135594,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.460562149562151,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.0881087381087298,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.3988382788382765,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.7251083601083579,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.7411138411138367,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.2484281484281485,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": -31.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -26.446000000000012,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1492537313432836,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7596685082872928,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7391304347826086,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.512534528696293,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.5262340107994135,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.192469539515162,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.27974592074592064,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10451351351351346,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.21000000000000085,
"utr_p1": 0.8894117647058825,
"utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_advantage": 1.3587835651892648,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}