Casper Ruud vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Basel | Hard | Quarterfinals
24 Oct 2025, 17:40
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Casper … Alejandro … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Casper Ruud
Ranking #12
UTR Rating 15.99 Pro
UTR Ranking #12
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 46/72 = 63.9%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking #14
UTR Rating 15.93 Pro
UTR Ranking #15
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 47/80 = 58.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 2.0000
rank_ratio 1.1667
log_rank_ratio 0.1542
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 200.0000
best_rank_diff 12.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5.1154
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4.8246
surface_matches_ratio 0.9000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1.0000
surface_wr_p1 65.1282
surface_wr_p2 60.0128
surface_wr_p1_stable 63.1579
surface_wr_p2_stable 58.3333
p1_surface_matches 72.0000
p2_surface_matches 80.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.2778
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8.0631
first_serve_won_diff 4.6631
second_serve_won_diff 1.6483
bp_saved_diff 3.1484
bp_converted_diff -1.4795
aces_per_match_diff 2.6185
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.4000
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 100.0000
momentum_p2 78.0000
momentum_diff 22.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 3.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 6.0000
match_load_p2 4.0000
match_load_diff 2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.2783
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.8038
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5227
serve_consistency_p1 4.9413
serve_consistency_p2 4.2912
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.7885
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1493
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1021
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.0600
utr_p1 0.9400
utr_p2 0.9329
utr_advantage 0.3759
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 11435
API ID 14895968
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Basel
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11435,
    "api_id": 14895968,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Casper Ruud",
    "player2": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
    "tournament": "Basel",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-10-24T17:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 12,
      "utr_singles": 15.99,
      "utr_ranking": 12,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.888888888888886,
      "wr_surface_wins": 46,
      "wr_surface_total": 72,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 14,
      "utr_singles": 15.93,
      "utr_ranking": 15,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.75,
      "wr_surface_wins": 47,
      "wr_surface_total": 80,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.99,
      "ranking": 12,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.93,
      "ranking": 15,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 2,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1666666666666667,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.15415067982725836,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": 200,
    "best_rank_diff": 12,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.115417404419944,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.824561403508767,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 65.12820512820511,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.012787723785166,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.333333333333336,
    "p1_surface_matches": 72,
    "p2_surface_matches": 80,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2777777777777778,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.063097177758308,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.663057428504999,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.6482682918104814,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.148356345274479,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.4795021730188012,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.6185439879813277,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 22.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2782874617737003,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8038147138964578,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5227272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.9412686850912655,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.291179133653954,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.7885450704915237,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14928205128205108,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10212787723785166,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0600000000000005,
    "utr_p1": 0.9400000000000001,
    "utr_p2": 0.9329411764705882,
    "utr_advantage": 0.37593984962406324,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}