Lucrezia Stefanini vs Gabriela Knutson
WTA 125K Rovereto, Italy Women Singles | Hard | Quarterfinals
24 Oct 2025, 17:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lucrezia … Gabriela … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ranking #140
UTR Rating 11.65 Pro
UTR Ranking #188
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 22/42 = 52.4%
Gabriela Knutson
Ranking #191
UTR Rating 11.59 Pro
UTR Ranking #217
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 4/10 = 40.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 51.0000
rank_ratio 1.3643
log_rank_ratio 0.3106
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 148.0000
best_rank_diff 56.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15.3095
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6.6770
surface_matches_ratio 4.2000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 51.5000
surface_wr_p2 36.1905
surface_wr_p1_stable 52.1739
surface_wr_p2_stable 42.8571
p1_surface_matches 42.0000
p2_surface_matches 10.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0476
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 0.4333
combined_confidence 0.7167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6.7902
first_serve_won_diff -9.7316
second_serve_won_diff 5.7796
bp_saved_diff -20.6574
bp_converted_diff 10.0854
aces_per_match_diff -1.8291
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.4000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 70.0000
momentum_p2 80.0000
momentum_diff -10.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7.1050
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 2.1966
serve_consistency_p2 20.3213
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4.7556
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.0360
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.0871
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.0600
utr_p1 0.4294
utr_p2 0.4224
utr_advantage 0.5164
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 11489
API ID 14897424
Gamdom ID -
Torneo WTA 125K Rovereto, Italy Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11489,
    "api_id": 14897424,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Lucrezia Stefanini",
    "player2": "Gabriela Knutson",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Rovereto, Italy Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-10-24T17:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 140,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 188,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 191,
      "utr_singles": 11.59,
      "utr_ranking": 217,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 188,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.59,
      "ranking": 217,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 51,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3642857142857143,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3106310054373256,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": 148,
    "best_rank_diff": 56,
    "surface_wr_diff": 15.309523809523817,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.6770186335403725,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.2,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 36.19047619047618,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.17391304347826,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "p1_surface_matches": 42,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.047619047619047616,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.790153679653677,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.731623376623382,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.77961038961039,
    "bp_saved_diff": -20.657391774891778,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.085422077922075,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.8291125541125544,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.105000000000004,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.1966499818939798,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 20.321334787627237,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.755612773719058,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03599999999999992,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08709523809523823,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0600000000000005,
    "utr_p1": 0.4294117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.4223529411764706,
    "utr_advantage": 0.5163511187607616,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}