Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev
Vienna | Hard | Semifinals
25 Oct 2025, 18:45
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lorenzo … Alexander … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking #5
UTR Rating 15,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #9
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 22/37 = 59,5%
Alexander Zverev
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 32/45 = 71,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -2,0000
rank_ratio 0,6000
log_rank_ratio -0,5108
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -1000,0000
best_rank_diff -3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -16,0973
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -18,2055
surface_matches_ratio 0,7188
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,6216
surface_wr_p2 72,7190
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,7945
surface_wr_p2_stable 73,0000
p1_surface_matches 69,0000
p2_surface_matches 96,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1014
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,7687
first_serve_won_diff -2,7869
second_serve_won_diff -0,1556
bp_saved_diff -7,5314
bp_converted_diff -2,1382
aces_per_match_diff -3,1643
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,9800
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0466
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0395
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5152
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5400
serve_consistency_p1 7,0806
serve_consistency_p2 7,5881
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,2229
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0682
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2252
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0300
utr_p1 0,9141
utr_p2 0,9106
utr_advantage 0,1904
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 11494
API ID 14896622
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Vienna
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11494,
    "api_id": 14896622,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Lorenzo Musetti",
    "player2": "Alexander Zverev",
    "tournament": "Vienna",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-10-25T14:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 5,
      "utr_singles": 15.77,
      "utr_ranking": 9,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.45945945945946,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 15.74,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
      "wr_surface_wins": 32,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 9,
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 0.6,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5108256237659907,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
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    "best_rank_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -16.097332626744397,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.205479452054796,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.71875,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.62162162162162,
    "surface_wr_p2": 72.71895424836602,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.794520547945204,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 73.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 69,
    "p2_surface_matches": 96,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.10144927536231885,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.768710528175227,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.7868885135135173,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.15558565182829653,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.531369965553793,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.1382201245362964,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.1642952879349924,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 14.000000000000014,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.9799999999999898,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0466321243523315,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0394557823129251,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5151515151515151,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.54,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.080612934850908,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.5880886587327865,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.22292998002534,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06821621621621621,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2251895424836602,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.02999999999999936,
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    "utr_p2": 0.9105882352941177,
    "utr_advantage": 0.19041574103458814,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}