Jacob Fearnley vs Matteo Arnaldi
Paris | Hard | Qualification Round 1
25 Oct 2025, 18:45
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jacob … Matteo … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking #77
UTR Rating 15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking #49
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking #65
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -12,0000
rank_ratio 0,8442
log_rank_ratio -0,1694
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -106,0000
best_rank_diff -19,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 14,2040
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 17,8468
surface_matches_ratio 1,0154
surface_tournaments_won_diff 4,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,0809
surface_wr_p2 49,8769
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,7246
p1_surface_matches 66,0000
p2_surface_matches 65,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3939
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,1896
first_serve_won_diff -1,8533
second_serve_won_diff 5,3663
bp_saved_diff 1,8421
bp_converted_diff 4,1318
aces_per_match_diff -0,9364
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,2300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8867
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7625
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6842
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6897
serve_consistency_p1 5,7265
serve_consistency_p2 3,5589
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,4064
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1528
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0132
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1400
utr_p1 0,8588
utr_p2 0,8424
utr_advantage 0,9192
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 11501
API ID 14946143
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Paris
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
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  "match": {
    "id": 11501,
    "api_id": 14946143,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jacob Fearnley",
    "player2": "Matteo Arnaldi",
    "tournament": "Paris",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2025-10-25T14:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
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    "p1_surface_matches": 66,
    "p2_surface_matches": 65,
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    "match_load_p1": 5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8866995073891626,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6842105263157895,
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    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
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    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
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