Sebastian Korda vs Valentin Royer
Paris | Hard | Qualification Final
26 Oct 2025, 14:00
26 Oct 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastian … | Valentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Korda
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Valentin Royer
Ranking
#58
UTR Rating
15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/40 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 5,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0943 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0902 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 51,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 41,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,7397 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,7055 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7662 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,2874 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 59,0270 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,7302 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,0247 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 59,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 77,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1864 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,6433 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,0772 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0328 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,0298 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,2880 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,0475 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9,3760 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9573 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4872 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8332 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,7980 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,0667 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0779 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0953 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8341 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,4869 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11507
API ID
14947991
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Paris
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11507,
"api_id": 14947991,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sebastian Korda",
"player2": "Valentin Royer",
"tournament": "Paris",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-10-26T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 53,
"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 58,
"utr_singles": 15.09,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.47,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.09,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 5,
"rank_ratio": 1.0943396226415094,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.09015109699429748,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 51,
"best_rank_diff": 41,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.7396707051879545,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.7054673721340379,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7662337662337663,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.28735632183908,
"surface_wr_p2": 59.02702702702703,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.730158730158735,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.0246913580247,
"p1_surface_matches": 59,
"p2_surface_matches": 77,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1864406779661017,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.643344082013044,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.077152531842188,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.03283379931657038,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.0297806772289562,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.2880267163715473,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.0474588381484935,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -12.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.376000000000005,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 9,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9572953736654805,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.48717948717948717,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.833242455475765,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.797981601541924,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.0666821254872397,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07787356321839078,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09527027027027035,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.3800000000000008,
"utr_p1": 0.8788235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.8341176470588235,
"utr_advantage": 2.486910994764403,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}