Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublev
Paris | Hard | Round of 64
27 Oct 2025, 14:55
27 Oct 2025, 14:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jacob … | Andrey … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking
#71
UTR Rating
15.64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#44
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
46/66 = 69.7%
Andrey Rublev
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
15.73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
54/90 = 60.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -55.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2254 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.4901 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1733.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -44.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5.7702 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8.9970 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64.0809 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58.3107 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68.5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59.5745 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 66.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 90.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3939 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8.4928 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6.4217 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.5032 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0.5378 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.4493 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3.0165 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 80.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 65.9540 | |
| current_streak_diff | 7.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8867 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.2527 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6842 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4783 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.8116 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.8713 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8.5981 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1958 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0281 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8988 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9094 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.5738 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11592
API ID
14952048
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Paris
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Jacob Fearnley",
"player2": "Andrey Rublev",
"tournament": "Paris",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-10-27T14:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
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"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.64,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": -44,
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"p2_surface_matches": 90,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3939393939393939,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.492842760181006,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.421718042986427,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.5032103129713477,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.5377620663650191,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.4493024132729957,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.0164734162895925,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
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"momentum_diff": 80.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 65.95400000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"match_load_p1": 6,
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"match_load_diff": 5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8866995073891626,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.252723311546841,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6842105263157895,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 4.8115984823228795,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.871253718587168,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.59808442547153,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19580882352941176,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02810708898944181,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
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"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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