Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda
Paris | Hard | Round of 64
27 Oct 2025, 16:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lorenzo … Sebastian … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Sonego
Ranking #39
UTR Rating 15.63 Pro
UTR Ranking #48
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 34/73 = 46.6%
Sebastian Korda
Ranking #48
UTR Rating 15.71 Pro
UTR Ranking #36
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 35/59 = 59.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 9.0000
rank_ratio 1.2308
log_rank_ratio 0.2076
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 165.0000
best_rank_diff -6.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10.5601
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11.9769
surface_matches_ratio 1.2373
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 47.7273
surface_wr_p2 58.2874
surface_wr_p1_stable 46.7532
surface_wr_p2_stable 58.7302
p1_surface_matches 73.0000
p2_surface_matches 59.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.0685
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5.3677
first_serve_won_diff -1.3486
second_serve_won_diff -3.1949
bp_saved_diff 2.1127
bp_converted_diff -3.4278
aces_per_match_diff -1.8675
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.2000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 28.0000
momentum_p2 72.0000
momentum_diff -44.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -34.5500
current_streak_diff -4.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 4.0000
match_load_p2 5.0000
match_load_diff -1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.2821
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.9573
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4688
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5000
serve_consistency_p1 4.4972
serve_consistency_p2 5.4072
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2.1927
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.0317
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0919
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.0800
utr_p1 0.8976
utr_p2 0.9071
utr_advantage -0.5105
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 11595
API ID 14952051
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Paris
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11595,
    "api_id": 14952051,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Lorenzo Sonego",
    "player2": "Sebastian Korda",
    "tournament": "Paris",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2025-10-27T16:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 39,
      "utr_singles": 15.63,
      "utr_ranking": 48,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.57534246575342,
      "wr_surface_wins": 34,
      "wr_surface_total": 73,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 48,
      "utr_singles": 15.71,
      "utr_ranking": 36,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.32203389830508,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 59,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.63,
      "ranking": 48,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.71,
      "ranking": 36,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 9,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2307692307692308,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.20763936477824455,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": 165,
    "best_rank_diff": -6,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.56008359456635,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.976911976911985,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2372881355932204,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.72727272727273,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.28735632183908,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.75324675324675,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.730158730158735,
    "p1_surface_matches": 73,
    "p2_surface_matches": 59,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.0684931506849315,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.367734561128515,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.3485653082549618,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.194909352142119,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.112711337513062,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.4277552246603946,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.8674895506792053,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "momentum_diff": -44.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -34.55,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.282122905027933,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9572953736654805,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46875,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.497195221094255,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.407241094884918,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.192689049580918,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.031727272727272715,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0918735632183908,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
    "utr_p1": 0.8976470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.9070588235294119,
    "utr_advantage": -0.5105296745373329,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}