Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda
Paris | Hard | Round of 64
27 Oct 2025, 20:00
27 Oct 2025, 20:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lorenzo … | Sebastian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Sonego
Ranking
#40
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#49
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
20/40 = 50,0%
Sebastian Korda
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 13,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3250 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2814 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 265,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -6,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,5601 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,9769 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2373 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,7273 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,2874 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46,7532 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,7302 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 73,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 59,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0685 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,3677 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,3486 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,1949 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,1127 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,4278 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,8675 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -44,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -34,5500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2821 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9573 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4688 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,4972 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4072 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,9717 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0357 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0959 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -10,5601 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8788 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1050 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11595
API ID
14952051
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Paris
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 11595,
"api_id": 14952051,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lorenzo Sonego",
"player2": "Sebastian Korda",
"tournament": "Paris",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-10-27T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 49,
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"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 29,
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"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"points_diff": 265,
"best_rank_diff": -6,
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"p1_surface_matches": 73,
"p2_surface_matches": 59,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.0684931506849315,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.367734561128515,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.3485653082549618,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.194909352142119,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.112711337513062,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.4277552246603946,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.8674895506792053,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": -44.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -34.55,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.282122905027933,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9572953736654805,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46875,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.497195221094255,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.407241094884918,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.971739096219751,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03572727272727272,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0958735632183908,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -10.56008359456635,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"utr_p1": 0.8588235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.8788235294117648,
"utr_advantage": -1.1049723756906071,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}