Anastasija Sevastova vs Maya Joint
Hong Kong | Hard | Round of 32
27 Oct 2025, 12:20
27 Oct 2025, 12:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anastasija … | Maya … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anastasija Sevastova
Ranking
#199
UTR Rating
11.91 Pro
UTR Ranking
#125
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
9/16 = 56.3%
Maya Joint
Ranking
#32
UTR Rating
12.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#56
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
44/72 = 61.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -167.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1608 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.8276 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1172.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 21.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6.1915 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4.2368 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.2222 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61.1915 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60.5263 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 72.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.0396 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2.5434 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5.8707 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6.5160 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7.6959 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.7646 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4.9100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 31.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.4800 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.4359 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.6598 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.4453 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 11.3154 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2170 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0551 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4600 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4929 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.3237 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11606
API ID
14947446
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hong Kong
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 11606,
"api_id": 14947446,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Anastasija Sevastova",
"player2": "Maya Joint",
"tournament": "Hong Kong",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-27T12:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.91,
"utr_ranking": 125,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 32,
"utr_singles": 12.19,
"utr_ranking": 56,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
"wr_surface_wins": 44,
"wr_surface_total": 72,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 125,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 56,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.16080402010050251,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.827568921924766,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1172,
"best_rank_diff": 21,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.191489361702125,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.236842105263153,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.2222222222222222,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.191489361702125,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.00000000000001,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.526315789473685,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 72,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.0396144680851052,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.5434425531914826,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.870710638297865,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.515999999999998,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.69585531914894,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7645531914893615,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.910000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 31,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.48,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4358974358974359,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6428571428571429,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.659847877509262,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.445306308157278,
"surface_rank_synergy": 11.31537353787461,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.21700000000000008,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05508510638297881,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.27999999999999936,
"utr_p1": 0.46,
"utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
"utr_advantage": -2.323651452282152,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}