Jan Choinski vs Milos Karol
Bratislava, Slovakia | Hard | Qualification Final
27 Oct 2025, 15:05
27 Oct 2025, 15:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jan … | Milos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan Choinski
Ranking
#125
UTR Rating
14.61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#147
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Hard
13/35 = 37.1%
Milos Karol
Ranking
#434
UTR Rating
13.95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#398
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (6p)
WR Hard
20/37 = 54.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 309.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3.4720 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.2447 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 390.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 231.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -20.0888 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15.1970 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9459 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33.8112 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53.9000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 38.4615 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53.6585 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.2571 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -23.2356 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -11.5623 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.6347 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8.1677 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6.4263 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -8.0320 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 38.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 28.5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 14.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8493 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3043 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.7484 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 17.1777 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -25.0052 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.4709 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.3480 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -20.0888 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.6600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7000 | |
| utr_advantage | 4.6218 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11633
API ID
14952101
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Bratislava, Slovakia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 11633,
"api_id": 14952101,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jan Choinski",
"player2": "Milos Karol",
"tournament": "Bratislava, Slovakia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-10-27T15:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.61,
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"wr_surface": 37.142857142857146,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 13.95,
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"wr_surface": 54.054054054054056,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 231,
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"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2571428571428571,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -23.235584195804215,
"first_serve_won_diff": -11.56228251748253,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.634669930069933,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.167668531468536,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.426318881118874,
"aces_per_match_diff": -8.03202097902098,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": 37.99999999999997,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 28.5,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
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"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8493150684931506,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.30434782608695654,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.748370610583002,
"serve_consistency_p2": 17.177664810727496,
"surface_rank_synergy": -25.00516195777561,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4708881118881118,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.348,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -20.088811188811185,
"utr_diff": 0.6600000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.7776470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.7,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}