Sorana Cirstea vs Ajla Tomljanovic
Hong Kong | Hard | Round of 16
29 Oct 2025, 11:35
29 Oct 2025, 11:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sorana … | Ajla … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sorana Cirstea
Ranking
#41
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
26/41 = 63,4%
Ajla Tomljanovic
Ranking
#78
UTR Rating
12,26 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/27 = 51,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 37,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9024 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6431 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 368,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,9763 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,7683 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1373 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,2726 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,2963 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59,6774 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,9091 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 58,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 51,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2069 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,4870 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,1265 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,2347 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,3075 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,3951 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,9471 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,7950 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9135 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5466 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,1799 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,1764 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,7730 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0657 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0500 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 8,9763 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5012 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,7785 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11672
API ID
14935048
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hong Kong
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11672,
"api_id": 14935048,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sorana Cirstea",
"player2": "Ajla Tomljanovic",
"tournament": "Hong Kong",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-29T07:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 41,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.41463414634146,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 78,
"utr_singles": 12.26,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.26,
"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 37,
"rank_ratio": 1.9024390243902438,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6431367599852839,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 368,
"best_rank_diff": 11,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.976300547319205,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.768328445747805,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1372549019607843,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.272596843615496,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.29629629629629,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.67741935483871,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.90909090909091,
"p1_surface_matches": 58,
"p2_surface_matches": 51,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.20689655172413793,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.48704959748126,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.126463414634131,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.2346646341463554,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.3075000000000045,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.3951219512195223,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.947108640204049,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.794999999999987,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9134615384615384,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5466101694915254,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.1799285220851,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.176427343054471,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.772988850657004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06572596843615508,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.049962962962962876,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 8.976300547319205,
"utr_diff": 0.22000000000000064,
"utr_p1": 0.5270588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.5011764705882352,
"utr_advantage": 1.7784963621665368,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}