Eva Lys vs Leylah Fernandez
Hong Kong | Hard | Round of 16
29 Oct 2025, 10:30
29 Oct 2025, 10:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Eva … | Leylah … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Eva Lys
Ranking
#40
UTR Rating
12.41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#28
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
38/62 = 61.3%
Leylah Fernandez
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
12.56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#17
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
44/74 = 59.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -18.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.5978 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -530.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -27.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.1891 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1.6317 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8378 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61.2544 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61.0653 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60.6061 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.9744 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2258 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6.8520 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6.3250 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.1371 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3.9465 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5.8976 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.6742 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6.9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 7.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7401 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8798 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.7279 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.4330 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.1130 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1305 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0927 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5365 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.2014 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11673
API ID
14935043
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hong Kong
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11673,
"api_id": 14935043,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Eva Lys",
"player2": "Leylah Fernandez",
"tournament": "Hong Kong",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-29T10:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 40,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 28,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.29032258064516,
"wr_surface_wins": 38,
"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 22,
"utr_singles": 12.56,
"utr_ranking": 17,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.45945945945946,
"wr_surface_wins": 44,
"wr_surface_total": 74,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.41,
"ranking": 28,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.56,
"ranking": 17,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -18,
"rank_ratio": 0.55,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5978370007556204,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -530,
"best_rank_diff": -27,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.1890890841177182,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.631701631701631,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8378378378378378,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.25435540069686,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.06526631657914,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.60606060606061,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"p1_surface_matches": 62,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.22580645161290322,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.851995145999041,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.32503540519275,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.1370967741935516,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.9464516129032248,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.8976475216365,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.674174205572299,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.950000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 7,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7401129943502824,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8798283261802575,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.727919785482511,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.432964197798165,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.11304445092456386,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1305435540069686,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09265266316579135,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
"utr_p1": 0.5188235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.5364705882352941,
"utr_advantage": -1.2014417300760942,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}