Celine Naef vs Ella Seidel
Linz | Hard |
26 Jan 2025, 14:30
26 Jan 2025, 14:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Celine … | Ella … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Celine Naef
Ranking
#306
UTR Rating
11.44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#279
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Hard
9/20 = 45.0%
Ella Seidel
Ranking
#86
UTR Rating
12.11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#75
Forma L5
25% (4p)
Forma L10
25% (4p)
WR Hard
39/62 = 62.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -220.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2810 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.2692 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -622.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -37.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -31.6447 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13.5732 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.3226 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 32.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64.1447 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45.8333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62.1212 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3.7267 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1.8029 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5.5270 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2.9166 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9.6985 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.5836 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.3500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30.6122 | |
| momentum_diff | -0.6122 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3.5911 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 19.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 18.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.2353 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5833 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3.6955 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.0250 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 40.1647 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0450 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0786 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.6700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4047 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4835 | |
| utr_advantage | -5.6900 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
1169
API ID
13389669
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Linz
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1169,
"api_id": 13389669,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Celine Naef",
"player2": "Ella Seidel",
"tournament": "Linz",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-01-26T14:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 306,
"utr_singles": 11.44,
"utr_ranking": 279,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 86,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 75,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.903225806451616,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 25.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.44,
"ranking": 279,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.11,
"ranking": 75,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -220,
"rank_ratio": 0.28104575163398693,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.2692378056988731,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -622,
"best_rank_diff": -37,
"surface_wr_diff": -31.64473684210526,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.573232323232329,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3225806451612903,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 32.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.14473684210526,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.83333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.121212121212125,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 62,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.7266644736842167,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.8028947368421058,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.527039473684205,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.916644736842102,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.698486842105261,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5835526315789474,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.35,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 30.612244897959183,
"momentum_diff": -0.6122448979591795,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.59112244897959,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 18,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.69548242882167,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.0250009773827324,
"surface_rank_synergy": 40.16469635139197,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.044999999999999984,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07855263157894732,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.6699999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.40470588235294114,
"utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_advantage": -5.690021231422506,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
"utr_available": "0.018"
}
}