Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego
Paris | Hard | Round of 32
29 Oct 2025, 17:25
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lorenzo … Lorenzo … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking #8
UTR Rating 16.04 Pro
UTR Ranking #8
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 38/69 = 55.1%
Lorenzo Sonego
Ranking #39
UTR Rating 15.63 Pro
UTR Ranking #48
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 34/73 = 46.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 31.0000
rank_ratio 4.8750
log_rank_ratio 1.5841
rank_tier_advantage 2.0000
points_diff 2775.0000
best_rank_diff 15.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8.8943
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8.0413
surface_matches_ratio 0.9452
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1.0000
surface_wr_p1 56.6216
surface_wr_p2 47.7273
surface_wr_p1_stable 54.7945
surface_wr_p2_stable 46.7532
p1_surface_matches 69.0000
p2_surface_matches 73.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.1014
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4.2090
first_serve_won_diff -2.2061
second_serve_won_diff 5.9171
bp_saved_diff -6.4929
bp_converted_diff 0.3719
aces_per_match_diff -2.4405
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 58.0000
momentum_p2 50.0000
momentum_diff 8.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9.0490
current_streak_diff -2.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 6.0000
match_load_p2 4.0000
match_load_diff 2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.0466
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.2821
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5152
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.4688
serve_consistency_p1 6.9057
serve_consistency_p2 6.2422
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 14.0897
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0352
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0083
elite_surface_amplifier 17.7887
UTR
utr_diff 0.4100
utr_p1 0.9459
utr_p2 0.8976
utr_advantage 2.5892
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 11701
API ID 14957714
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Paris
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11701,
    "api_id": 14957714,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Lorenzo Musetti",
    "player2": "Lorenzo Sonego",
    "tournament": "Paris",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-10-29T17:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 8,
      "utr_singles": 16.04,
      "utr_ranking": 8,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.072463768115945,
      "wr_surface_wins": 38,
      "wr_surface_total": 69,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 39,
      "utr_singles": 15.63,
      "utr_ranking": 48,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.57534246575342,
      "wr_surface_wins": 34,
      "wr_surface_total": 73,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 16.04,
      "ranking": 8,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.63,
      "ranking": 48,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 31,
    "rank_ratio": 4.875,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.5841201044498106,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "points_diff": 2775,
    "best_rank_diff": 15,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.894348894348894,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.041273794698455,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9452054794520548,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.62162162162162,
    "surface_wr_p2": 47.72727272727273,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.794520547945204,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.75324675324675,
    "p1_surface_matches": 69,
    "p2_surface_matches": 73,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.10144927536231885,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.20896898034399,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.2060703316953436,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.9170654176904165,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.492934582309587,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.37185964373465197,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.4405267199017198,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.048999999999978,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0466321243523315,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.282122905027933,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5151515151515151,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.46875,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.905703906210118,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.242183320578608,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 14.089716899529028,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03521621621621618,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.00827272727272732,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 17.78869778869779,
    "utr_diff": 0.40999999999999837,
    "utr_p1": 0.9458823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.8976470588235295,
    "utr_advantage": 2.58920113672244,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}