Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego
Paris | Hard | Round of 32
29 Oct 2025, 17:25
29 Oct 2025, 17:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lorenzo … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
16.04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#8
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
38/69 = 55.1%
Lorenzo Sonego
Ranking
#39
UTR Rating
15.63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#48
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
34/73 = 46.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 31.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4.8750 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.5841 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 2775.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 15.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8.8943 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8.0413 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9452 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56.6216 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47.7273 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.7945 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46.7532 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 69.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 73.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1014 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4.2090 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.2061 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5.9171 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6.4929 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.3719 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.4405 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9.0490 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0466 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.2821 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5152 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4688 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.9057 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.2422 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 14.0897 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0352 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0083 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 17.7887 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8976 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.5892 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11701
API ID
14957714
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Paris
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11701,
"api_id": 14957714,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"player2": "Lorenzo Sonego",
"tournament": "Paris",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-29T17:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 8,
"utr_singles": 16.04,
"utr_ranking": 8,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.072463768115945,
"wr_surface_wins": 38,
"wr_surface_total": 69,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 39,
"utr_singles": 15.63,
"utr_ranking": 48,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.57534246575342,
"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 73,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 16.04,
"ranking": 8,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.63,
"ranking": 48,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 31,
"rank_ratio": 4.875,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5841201044498106,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 2775,
"best_rank_diff": 15,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.894348894348894,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.041273794698455,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9452054794520548,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.62162162162162,
"surface_wr_p2": 47.72727272727273,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.794520547945204,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.75324675324675,
"p1_surface_matches": 69,
"p2_surface_matches": 73,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10144927536231885,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.20896898034399,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.2060703316953436,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.9170654176904165,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.492934582309587,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.37185964373465197,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.4405267199017198,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.048999999999978,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0466321243523315,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.282122905027933,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5151515151515151,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.46875,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.905703906210118,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.242183320578608,
"surface_rank_synergy": 14.089716899529028,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03521621621621618,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.00827272727272732,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 17.78869778869779,
"utr_diff": 0.40999999999999837,
"utr_p1": 0.9458823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.8976470588235295,
"utr_advantage": 2.58920113672244,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}