Karen Khachanov vs Alex de Minaur
Paris | Hard | Round of 16
30 Oct 2025, 19:20
30 Oct 2025, 19:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Karen … | Alex … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karen Khachanov
Ranking
#18
UTR Rating
15,58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#21
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/30 = 50,0%
Alex de Minaur
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
15,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
39/55 = 70,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -12,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0986 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1760,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16,0317 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,1663 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7449 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,5349 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70,5666 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,4416 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 69,6078 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 73,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 98,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1781 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,7636 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,9759 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,6064 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,3136 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,9821 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,8788 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,3740 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1262 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8981 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6047 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6071 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,6360 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,3268 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 17,6126 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0573 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1937 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9282 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,9701 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11735
API ID
14970806
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Paris
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11735,
"api_id": 14970806,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Karen Khachanov",
"player2": "Alex de Minaur",
"tournament": "Paris",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-30T15:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.58,
"utr_ranking": 21,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 15.89,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 70.9090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 55,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 21,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -1.0986122886681098,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -1760,
"best_rank_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.03171247357293,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7448979591836735,
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"surface_wr_p2": 70.56659619450316,
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"p1_surface_matches": 73,
"p2_surface_matches": 98,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1780821917808219,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.763584073291057,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.9759450317124703,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.606359408033825,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.3136152219873125,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.982126849894286,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.8787596899224805,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.3740000000000094,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1261904761904762,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8981324278438031,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6046511627906976,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6071428571428571,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.63602789397861,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.326762536468234,
"surface_rank_synergy": 17.61263633186104,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.057348837209302284,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1936659619450316,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3100000000000005,
"utr_p1": 0.8917647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.9282352941176472,
"utr_advantage": -1.9701302828090277,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}