Sorana Cirstea vs Leylah Fernandez
Hong Kong | Hard | Quarterfinals
31 Oct 2025, 15:40
31 Oct 2025, 15:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sorana … | Leylah … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sorana Cirstea
Ranking
#41
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
26/41 = 63,4%
Leylah Fernandez
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
12,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#20
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
28/43 = 65,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -18,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5610 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5781 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -572,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -8,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,7927 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,7031 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7838 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,2726 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,0653 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59,6774 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,9744 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 58,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2069 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,8397 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,5208 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,9005 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,2935 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,5058 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1247 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,5300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9135 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8798 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,2859 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,6912 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,4582 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1207 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0927 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5329 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,3998 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11750
API ID
14935046
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hong Kong
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11750,
"api_id": 14935046,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sorana Cirstea",
"player2": "Leylah Fernandez",
"tournament": "Hong Kong",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-10-31T11:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 41,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.41463414634146,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 23,
"utr_singles": 12.53,
"utr_ranking": 20,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.11627906976744,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.53,
"ranking": 20,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.5609756097560976,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.578077850775158,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -572,
"best_rank_diff": -8,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.7926694729636452,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.7030603804797337,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7837837837837838,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.272596843615496,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.06526631657914,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.67741935483871,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"p1_surface_matches": 58,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.20689655172413793,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.8397347166777251,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.520818253343819,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.900511408339895,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.2935483870967772,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.5057671125098437,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.1247395062538947,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.5299999999999869,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9134615384615384,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8798283261802575,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.285929759903885,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.691215525919901,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.4582246653059013,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12072596843615502,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09265266316579135,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.049999999999998934,
"utr_p1": 0.5270588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.5329411764705881,
"utr_advantage": -0.39984006397440175,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}