Marco Trungelliti vs Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Round 1
01 Nov 2025, 09:30
01 Nov 2025, 09:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marco … | Mackenzie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marco Trungelliti
Ranking
#130
UTR Rating
14.49 Pro
UTR Ranking
#172
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
17/34 = 50.0%
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
14.86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
42/74 = 56.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -18.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8615 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.1490 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -85.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -75.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9.0317 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6.4103 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.4595 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46.7111 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55.7428 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56.4103 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2.5356 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.6655 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.5759 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0.1046 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -16.2831 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.8205 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -24.6090 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.5725 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4643 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2.3815 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.2255 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1.3460 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0149 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0394 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.3700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8071 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.5213 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11777
API ID
14981795
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 11777,
"api_id": 14981795,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Marco Trungelliti",
"player2": "Mackenzie McDonald",
"tournament": "ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-11-01T09:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.49,
"utr_ranking": 172,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.86,
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"wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
"wr_surface_wins": 42,
"wr_surface_total": 74,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"features": {
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"points_diff": -85,
"best_rank_diff": -75,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.031682680463177,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.410256410256409,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 55.742793791574286,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
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"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.535558748460204,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.6654585858585875,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.5758814486326784,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.10456102488298313,
"bp_converted_diff": -16.283075634392702,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.820526237989652,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -24.609,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5725190839694656,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4642857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.3814503368719153,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.225481353250816,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.3460420590765767,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.014888888888888896,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03942793791574284,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3699999999999992,
"utr_p1": 0.7635294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.8070588235294117,
"utr_advantage": -2.521294718909705,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}