Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys
WTA Finals | Hard |
01 Nov 2025, 19:00
01 Nov 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Iga … | Madison … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iga Swiatek
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
12,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
41/52 = 78,8%
Madison Keys
Ranking
#9
UTR Rating
12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 7,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5041 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 4217,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,9066 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,8622 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,1364 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 80,9066 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 80,6122 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 68,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 94,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,6383 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,7094 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,0967 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,7729 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,0383 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,7716 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,6448 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 24,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 35,3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 67,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5414 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9835 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7643 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14,4882 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1,1437 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 16,4044 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3021 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2070 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5294 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,1496 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11792
API ID
14964443
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA Finals
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11792,
"api_id": 14964443,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Iga Swiatek",
"player2": "Madison Keys",
"tournament": "WTA Finals",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-11-01T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 2,
"utr_singles": 12.9,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 78.84615384615384,
"wr_surface_wins": 41,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 9,
"utr_singles": 12.5,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.9,
"ranking": 3,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.5,
"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 7,
"rank_ratio": 4.5,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5040773967762742,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 4217,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.906593406593402,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.862244897959187,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.1363636363636362,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 80.9065934065934,
"surface_wr_p2": 70.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 80.61224489795919,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.75,
"p1_surface_matches": 94,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.6382978723404256,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.709425824175824,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.0966758241758185,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.772884615384612,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.03831043956043345,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.771600274725273,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.6448145604395603,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": 23.999999999999996,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 35.300000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 22,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5413673034709969,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9835294117647059,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7642857142857142,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.488195062218841,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.1436541355763346,
"surface_rank_synergy": 16.40436061868628,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.30206593406593396,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20699999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.40000000000000036,
"utr_p1": 0.5764705882352942,
"utr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
"utr_advantage": 3.1496062992126013,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}