Shintaro Mochizuki vs Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
02 Nov 2025, 15:00
02 Nov 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Shintaro … | Mackenzie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
14,58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#150
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/43 = 60,5%
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking
#113
UTR Rating
14,76 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
22/41 = 53,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0089 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0089 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -55,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,1542 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,6013 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1486 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,8970 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,7428 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,8090 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,4103 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 85,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,6092 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,7538 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,1159 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,3842 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,1424 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,3487 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,4460 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7388 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5725 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3810 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4643 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,7401 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,2201 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0014 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0580 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0584 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7741 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7953 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,2270 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11798
API ID
14988501
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11798,
"api_id": 14988501,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Shintaro Mochizuki",
"player2": "Mackenzie McDonald",
"tournament": "ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-11-02T11:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 112,
"utr_singles": 14.58,
"utr_ranking": 150,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.46511627906976,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 113,
"utr_singles": 14.76,
"utr_ranking": 110,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.58,
"ranking": 150,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.76,
"ranking": 110,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 1,
"rank_ratio": 1.0089285714285714,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.008888947417245994,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 1,
"best_rank_diff": -55,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.1542161752031106,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.6012676462114683,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1486486486486487,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.8970099667774,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.742793791574286,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.80898876404494,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.41025641025641,
"p1_surface_matches": 85,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.60916119954917,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.753805496828747,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.115920987690686,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.384249766115893,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.1424429285972053,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.348741077413794,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -12.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.445999999999998,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7388059701492538,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5725190839694656,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38095238095238093,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4642857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.740108211387827,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.220129330080468,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0013708194722692457,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.057970099667774,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.058427937915742856,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.17999999999999972,
"utr_p1": 0.7741176470588236,
"utr_p2": 0.7952941176470588,
"utr_advantage": -1.2269938650306729,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}