Shintaro Mochizuki vs Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
02 Nov 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Shintaro … Mackenzie … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranking #112
UTR Rating 14,58 Pro
UTR Ranking #150
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 26/43 = 60,5%
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking #113
UTR Rating 14,76 Pro
UTR Ranking #110
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 22/41 = 53,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 1,0000
rank_ratio 1,0089
log_rank_ratio 0,0089
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 1,0000
best_rank_diff -55,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,1542
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,6013
surface_matches_ratio 1,1486
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,8970
surface_wr_p2 55,7428
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,8090
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,4103
p1_surface_matches 85,0000
p2_surface_matches 74,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0588
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,6092
first_serve_won_diff -2,7538
second_serve_won_diff -5,1159
bp_saved_diff -4,3842
bp_converted_diff -3,1424
aces_per_match_diff -2,3487
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -8,4460
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7388
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5725
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3810
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4643
serve_consistency_p1 8,7401
serve_consistency_p2 11,2201
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0014
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0580
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0584
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1800
utr_p1 0,7741
utr_p2 0,7953
utr_advantage -1,2270
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 11798
API ID 14988501
Gamdom ID -
Torneo ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11798,
    "api_id": 14988501,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Shintaro Mochizuki",
    "player2": "Mackenzie McDonald",
    "tournament": "ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2025-11-02T11:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "wr_surface": 60.46511627906976,
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      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
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      "wr_surface_total": 41,
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  },
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.80898876404494,
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    "p1_surface_matches": 85,
    "p2_surface_matches": 74,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
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    "serve_quality_diff": -7.60916119954917,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.753805496828747,
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    "bp_saved_diff": -4.384249766115893,
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    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_diff": -12.000000000000014,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -8.445999999999998,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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    "match_load_p1": 2,
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    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7388059701492538,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5725190839694656,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38095238095238093,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4642857142857143,
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    "utr_advantage": -1.2269938650306729,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
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    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
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    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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}