Jan Choinski vs Kyrian Jacquet
Metz | Hard | Qualification Final
02 Nov 2025, 14:00
02 Nov 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jan … | Kyrian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan Choinski
Ranking
#124
UTR Rating
14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#147
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
4/13 = 30,8%
Kyrian Jacquet
Ranking
#128
UTR Rating
14,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#145
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0323 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0317 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 21,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -31,4520 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -25,4729 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6140 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,8112 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,2632 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 38,4615 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,9344 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 57,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2571 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,0932 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,5196 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,3916 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,8294 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,8605 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5580 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21,5350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8493 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6875 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 1,6447 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,0071 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,9986 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1659 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1566 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7800 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,2738 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11804
API ID
14988104
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Metz
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11804,
"api_id": 14988104,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jan Choinski",
"player2": "Kyrian Jacquet",
"tournament": "Metz",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-11-02T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 124,
"utr_singles": 14.59,
"utr_ranking": 147,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.76923076923077,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 128,
"utr_singles": 14.63,
"utr_ranking": 145,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.59,
"ranking": 147,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.63,
"ranking": 145,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 4,
"rank_ratio": 1.032258064516129,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.03174869831458027,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 21,
"best_rank_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": -31.451969083548022,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -25.472887767969738,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6140350877192983,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.81118881118881,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.26315789473684,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.46153846153847,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.934426229508205,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 57,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2571428571428571,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.093225248435779,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.519587780640421,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.3916488774383566,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.8293632683106438,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.8604600662495443,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5579683474420314,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.535000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8493150684931506,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6875,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 1.6447229000400603,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.007071805794176,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.9985590778330719,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16588811188811187,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15663157894736834,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.040000000000000924,
"utr_p1": 0.7752941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.7800000000000001,
"utr_advantage": -0.27378507871321645,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}