Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonego
Metz | Hard | Round of 16
04 Nov 2025, 17:45
04 Nov 2025, 17:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Flavio … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Flavio Cobolli
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
15.71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#35
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
41/75 = 54.7%
Lorenzo Sonego
Ranking
#39
UTR Rating
15.63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#48
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
34/73 = 46.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.7727 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.5725 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 760.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0.8578 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7.6771 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0274 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46.8695 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47.7273 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.4304 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46.7532 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 75.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 73.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0933 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4.4784 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.3242 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.4572 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.1164 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.8666 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.1767 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -20.3010 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8024 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.2821 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5484 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4688 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.4113 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.3483 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.4911 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0483 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0057 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8976 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.5105 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11895
API ID
14956457
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Metz
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Flavio Cobolli",
"player2": "Lorenzo Sonego",
"tournament": "Metz",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-11-04T17:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 4,
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"p1_surface_matches": 75,
"p2_surface_matches": 73,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09333333333333334,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.478420454545464,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.3241862170088012,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.4571590909090872,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.1163966275659902,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.8666019061583654,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.1767375366568915,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": -30.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -20.301000000000002,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8024096385542169,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.282122905027933,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5483870967741935,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.46875,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.411282141368785,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.3483288463356455,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.4910905099284882,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04830498533724342,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.005727272727272692,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.08000000000000007,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
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"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
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"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
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"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
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"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
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"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
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"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}