Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
WTA Finals | Hard |
04 Nov 2025, 19:50
04 Nov 2025, 19:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | Jessica … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
36/42 = 85,7%
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
34/49 = 69,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 5,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,7918 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 5537,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 13,1869 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,7814 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9885 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 5,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 83,8636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70,6767 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 81,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,3297 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 86,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 87,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,6512 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,7556 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,3946 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,0450 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,7844 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,1791 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,4724 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 3,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,6236 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1751 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9061 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7222 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4348 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,8449 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,9138 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 23,6278 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3336 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2118 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5588 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,7107 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11899
API ID
14992739
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA Finals
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11899,
"api_id": 14992739,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
"player2": "Jessica Pegula",
"tournament": "WTA Finals",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-11-04T15:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 1,
"utr_singles": 12.97,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 85.71428571428571,
"wr_surface_wins": 36,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 12.75,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.38775510204081,
"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 49,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.97,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.75,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 5,
"rank_ratio": 6.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.791759469228055,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 5537,
"best_rank_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 13.186944634313065,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.781440781440779,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9885057471264368,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_p1": 83.86363636363636,
"surface_wr_p2": 70.6766917293233,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.32967032967034,
"p1_surface_matches": 86,
"p2_surface_matches": 87,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.6511627906976745,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.75560104807473,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.3945773524720977,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.0450239234449725,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.784362041467297,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.1791307814991967,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4724025974025965,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 3,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_on_surface": 2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.6236049445420179,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.39999999999999997,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1751412429378532,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.906060606060606,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7222222222222222,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.844864196102761,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.913827789548847,
"surface_rank_synergy": 23.627832918716525,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3336363636363636,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21176691729323294,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.22000000000000064,
"utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5588235294117647,
"utr_advantage": 1.7107309486780766,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}