Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys
WTA Finals | Hard |
05 Nov 2025, 14:00
05 Nov 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elena … | Madison … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elena Rybakina
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
12.98 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
68/87 = 78.2%
Madison Keys
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
12.48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#22
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
31/44 = 70.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.4000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.3365 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 1515.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 2.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8.1648 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8.1731 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.9773 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 78.1648 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 76.9231 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 68.7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.5632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9.2541 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7.3636 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.9215 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5.2931 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.3304 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.6480 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 1.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 98.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 60.7100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 9.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5872 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9128 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7643 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5172 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.7042 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.7653 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2.7472 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2796 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2020 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5271 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.9277 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11942
API ID
15001621
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA Finals
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11942,
"api_id": 15001621,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Elena Rybakina",
"player2": "Madison Keys",
"tournament": "WTA Finals",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-11-05T14:00:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 5,
"utr_singles": 12.98,
"utr_ranking": 1,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 78.16091954022988,
"wr_surface_wins": 68,
"wr_surface_total": 87,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 7,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 22,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.45454545454545,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.98,
"ranking": 1,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 22,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 2,
"rank_ratio": 1.4,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3364722366212129,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 1515,
"best_rank_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.16477272727272,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.173076923076934,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.9772727272727273,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 78.16477272727272,
"surface_wr_p2": 70.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 76.92307692307693,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.75,
"p1_surface_matches": 87,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5632183908045977,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.254143181818186,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.363568181818181,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.9215000000000089,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.293068181818185,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.3304431818181826,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.647954545454545,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
"last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"momentum_diff": 97.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 60.71,
"current_streak_diff": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5871543540324723,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.912751677852349,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7642857142857142,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5172413793103449,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.7041908226552325,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.765271979576315,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.747219341049332,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.27964772727272724,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20199999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.5,
"utr_p1": 0.5858823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.5270588235294118,
"utr_advantage": 3.927729772191673,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}