Stefano Travaglia vs Luca Nardi
Helsinki, Finland | Hard | Quarterfinals
07 Nov 2025, 11:30
07 Nov 2025, 11:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Stefano … | Luca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefano Travaglia
Ranking
#194
UTR Rating
14.52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#163
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/32 = 50.0%
Luca Nardi
Ranking
#107
UTR Rating
14.73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#125
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
44/81 = 54.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -87.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5515 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.5950 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -291.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 7.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.2724 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4.1176 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.3951 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54.0610 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.1176 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 81.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8.5950 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4.2254 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.9928 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3.4826 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.7113 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.7922 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5.8350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6115 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4815 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.6086 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11.0060 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.1621 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1303 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0464 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7671 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7918 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.4359 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11972
API ID
14956491
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Helsinki, Finland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11972,
"api_id": 14956491,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Stefano Travaglia",
"player2": "Luca Nardi",
"tournament": "Helsinki, Finland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-11-07T11:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.52,
"utr_ranking": 163,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.73,
"utr_ranking": 125,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
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"wr_surface": 54.32098765432099,
"wr_surface_wins": 44,
"wr_surface_total": 81,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 163,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": 7,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.27235772357723675,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 54.0609756097561,
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"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 81,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.594956910569103,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.225367886178859,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.992806910569108,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.48263211382114,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.7113252032520307,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.792215447154471,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.835000000000008,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6115107913669064,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.48148148148148145,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.608635576508338,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.006004437021927,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.16206083231014395,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1303333333333333,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.046390243902438955,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.21000000000000085,
"utr_p1": 0.7670588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.791764705882353,
"utr_advantage": -1.435897435897442,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}