Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles | Hard | Semifinals
07 Nov 2025, 17:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sebastian … Lorenzo … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Korda
Ranking #48
UTR Rating 15.71 Pro
UTR Ranking #36
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 35/59 = 59.3%
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking #8
UTR Rating 16.04 Pro
UTR Ranking #8
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 38/69 = 55.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -40.0000
rank_ratio 0.1667
log_rank_ratio -1.7918
rank_tier_advantage -2.0000
points_diff -2940.0000
best_rank_diff -9.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1.6657
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3.9356
surface_matches_ratio 0.8551
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1.0000
surface_wr_p1 58.2874
surface_wr_p2 56.6216
surface_wr_p1_stable 58.7302
surface_wr_p2_stable 54.7945
p1_surface_matches 59.0000
p2_surface_matches 69.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.1864
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9.5767
first_serve_won_diff 3.5546
second_serve_won_diff -2.7222
bp_saved_diff 4.3802
bp_converted_diff 3.0559
aces_per_match_diff 4.3080
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 92.0000
momentum_p2 72.0000
momentum_diff 20.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 6.3000
current_streak_diff 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 6.0000
match_load_p2 5.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.9573
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.0466
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5152
serve_consistency_p1 10.1806
serve_consistency_p2 3.8460
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2.9846
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1229
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0262
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.3300
utr_p1 0.9071
utr_p2 0.9459
utr_advantage -2.0787
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 11982
API ID 14956425
Gamdom ID -
Torneo ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11982,
    "api_id": 14956425,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Sebastian Korda",
    "player2": "Lorenzo Musetti",
    "tournament": "ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-11-07T17:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 48,
      "utr_singles": 15.71,
      "utr_ranking": 36,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.32203389830508,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 59,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 8,
      "utr_singles": 16.04,
      "utr_ranking": 8,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.072463768115945,
      "wr_surface_wins": 38,
      "wr_surface_total": 69,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.71,
      "ranking": 36,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 16.04,
      "ranking": 8,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -40,
    "rank_ratio": 0.16666666666666666,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.791759469228055,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "points_diff": -2940,
    "best_rank_diff": -9,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.665734700217456,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.9356381822135305,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.855072463768116,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.28735632183908,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.62162162162162,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.730158730158735,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.794520547945204,
    "p1_surface_matches": 59,
    "p2_surface_matches": 69,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1864406779661017,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.576703541472504,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.5546356399503054,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.7221560655482975,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.380223244796525,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.0558955809257426,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.308016270580925,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "momentum_diff": 20.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.299999999999983,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9572953736654805,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0466321243523315,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5151515151515151,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.180594927360104,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.846047028867282,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.9845959223363825,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12287356321839082,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02621621621621617,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.3299999999999983,
    "utr_p1": 0.9070588235294119,
    "utr_p2": 0.9458823529411764,
    "utr_advantage": -2.078740157480304,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}