Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles | Hard | Semifinals
07 Nov 2025, 17:00
07 Nov 2025, 17:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastian … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Korda
Ranking
#48
UTR Rating
15.71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
35/59 = 59.3%
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
16.04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#8
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
38/69 = 55.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -40.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.7918 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -2940.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -9.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1.6657 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3.9356 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8551 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58.2874 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56.6216 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58.7302 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.7945 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 59.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1864 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9.5767 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.5546 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.7222 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4.3802 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.0559 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4.3080 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6.3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9573 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0466 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5152 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.1806 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.8460 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2.9846 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1229 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0262 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.3300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9459 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.0787 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
11982
API ID
14956425
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11982,
"api_id": 14956425,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sebastian Korda",
"player2": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"tournament": "ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-11-07T17:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 48,
"utr_singles": 15.71,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.32203389830508,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 59,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 8,
"utr_singles": 16.04,
"utr_ranking": 8,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
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"wr_surface": 55.072463768115945,
"wr_surface_wins": 38,
"wr_surface_total": 69,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 36,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -2940,
"best_rank_diff": -9,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.665734700217456,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.9356381822135305,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.855072463768116,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 56.62162162162162,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.730158730158735,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.794520547945204,
"p1_surface_matches": 59,
"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1864406779661017,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.576703541472504,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.5546356399503054,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.7221560655482975,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.380223244796525,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.0558955809257426,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.308016270580925,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.299999999999983,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9572953736654805,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0466321243523315,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5151515151515151,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.180594927360104,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.846047028867282,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.9845959223363825,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12287356321839082,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02621621621621617,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3299999999999983,
"utr_p1": 0.9070588235294119,
"utr_p2": 0.9458823529411764,
"utr_advantage": -2.078740157480304,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}