Marin Čilić vs Otto Virtanen
Helsinki, Finland | Hard | Quarterfinals
07 Nov 2025, 19:30
07 Nov 2025, 19:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marin … | Otto … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marin Čilić
Ranking
#70
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
9/18 = 50,0%
Otto Virtanen
Ranking
#126
UTR Rating
14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking
#100
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/30 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 56,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5878 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 302,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 88,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,7589 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,7284 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4675 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,7589 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,7284 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 77,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,0794 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,6480 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,5299 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,1513 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,6177 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5482 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,0900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8493 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9828 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3636 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5294 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8225 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,7525 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,5606 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0560 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1336 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -7,7589 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8082 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8082 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11988
API ID
14956494
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Helsinki, Finland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11988,
"api_id": 14956494,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Marin \u010cili\u0107",
"player2": "Otto Virtanen",
"tournament": "Helsinki, Finland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-11-07T15:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 70,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 126,
"utr_singles": 14.87,
"utr_ranking": 100,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.87,
"ranking": 100,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 56,
"rank_ratio": 1.8,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5877866649021191,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 302,
"best_rank_diff": 88,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.758865248226954,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.728395061728392,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4675324675324675,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.758865248226954,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.72839506172839,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 77,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.07944539007093,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.6480425531915017,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.5299007092198664,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.151312056737595,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.617695035460983,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5482269503546107,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.0900000000000034,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8493150684931506,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9827586206896551,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.36363636363636365,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.822545886575475,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.752506492318859,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.560557527680273,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05600000000000005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1335886524822696,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -7.758865248226954,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8082352941176469,
"utr_p2": 0.8082352941176469,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}