Marin Čilić vs Otto Virtanen
Helsinki, Finland | Hard | Quarterfinals
07 Nov 2025, 19:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marin … Otto … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marin Čilić
Ranking #70
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 9/18 = 50,0%
Otto Virtanen
Ranking #126
UTR Rating 14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking #100
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/30 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 56,0000
rank_ratio 1,8000
log_rank_ratio 0,5878
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 302,0000
best_rank_diff 88,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,7589
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,7284
surface_matches_ratio 0,4675
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 57,7589
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,7284
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 77,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,0794
first_serve_won_diff 3,6480
second_serve_won_diff 0,5299
bp_saved_diff -1,1513
bp_converted_diff -3,6177
aces_per_match_diff 0,5482
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,0900
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8493
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9828
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3636
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5294
serve_consistency_p1 5,8225
serve_consistency_p2 3,7525
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,5606
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0560
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1336
elite_surface_amplifier -7,7589
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8082
utr_p2 0,8082
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 11988
API ID 14956494
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Helsinki, Finland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11988,
    "api_id": 14956494,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Marin \u010cili\u0107",
    "player2": "Otto Virtanen",
    "tournament": "Helsinki, Finland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-11-07T15:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 70,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 126,
      "utr_singles": 14.87,
      "utr_ranking": 100,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.87,
      "ranking": 100,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 56,
    "rank_ratio": 1.8,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5877866649021191,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "points_diff": 302,
    "best_rank_diff": 88,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.758865248226954,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.728395061728392,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4675324675324675,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.758865248226954,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.72839506172839,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 77,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.07944539007093,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.6480425531915017,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.5299007092198664,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.151312056737595,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.617695035460983,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.5482269503546107,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.0900000000000034,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8493150684931506,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9827586206896551,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.36363636363636365,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.822545886575475,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.752506492318859,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.560557527680273,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05600000000000005,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1335886524822696,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -7.758865248226954,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "utr_p1": 0.8082352941176469,
    "utr_p2": 0.8082352941176469,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}